TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91b0…f0b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
231
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT8337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.44
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,601Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$1,335.63
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$297.77
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,601Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$1,755.46
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$549.25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.8
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.38
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$55.5
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.89
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$75
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$95.2
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,971.21
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,617.1
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$196
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.05
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$2,016
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$46.75
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$5,207.1
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$332.87
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12,562Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+216.8%+$27,235.22
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39.16
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,395.98
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$2,728.25
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13,072Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+72.3%+$9,445.7
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+57.9%+$770
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT7663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$201.47
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,651Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$1,136.25
Brewers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$334.38
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$55.8
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,825Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+134.9%+$2,460.9
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.93
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.38
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+63.7%+$392.02
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$955.13
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$927.5
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$32
Angels vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,878Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$2,181.24
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,373Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+26.4%+$626.77
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$645
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$950
Orioles vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$644
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$61.28
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,951.04
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+109%+$485.54
Blue Jays vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$991.13
Braves vs. Metsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$495.21
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$664.75
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$217
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$454.5
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.94
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$552.5
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,735Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$2,100.96
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,055.24
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,612Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$917.8
Cardinals vs. Saintsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$168
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$86.1
Raiders vs. Cardinals backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.7
Cowboys vs. Ramsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.56
Steelers vs. Jaguars backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+133.4%+$184.62
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+43.3%+$154.01
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$495.02
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,851.91
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$318.75
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,312.39
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,809Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+95.6%+$8,418.08
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$7,338Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+244.5%+$17,942.68
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$3,930.14
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,089Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+92.8%+$1,011
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+318.9%+$9,410.07
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,379.37
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$129.62
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+124.7%+$120.07
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,078.27
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$145.1
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.32
Trump transgender sports ban?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$449.78
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15,874Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+71.6%+$11,373.11
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,430.08
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+235.5%+$54.81
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,678Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+194.3%+$7,146.63
Will Trump formally nominate Tulsi Gabbard to the cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+40.3%+$143.5
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$3,419.43
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+163.2%+$533.29
Will Trump nominate Robert Wilkie for Secretary of Veterans Affairs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+51.5%+$18.7
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+185.5%+$885.64
Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,429Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+59.7%+$852.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2025, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,912Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,911.51
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$62.4
Colorado State vs. Marylandbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$382.78
Drake vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.03
Arkansas vs. Kansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$2,815.48
All 7 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-61.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2024, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 January hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$900.66
2024 December hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$489.91
2024 November hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$1,778.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.36
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$117.8
UCLA vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,956.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+43.5%+$41.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'The Substance' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$810.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$89.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.