TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Jazz, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41b7…f6babacked Jazz14c22,136$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.0580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz25c19,900$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9751,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Raptors66c10,363$6,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.2433931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz35c7,617$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,665.6520238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors66c7,200$4,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.061,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Raptors73c6,101$4,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.0234532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Raptors79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Jazz28c5,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4203435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz33c4,964$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.021,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz20c4,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.971,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…3399backed Jazz32c3,250$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Jazz35c2,952$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.215237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Jazz34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Jazz1c2,360$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.965502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c72…0946backed Jazz32c2,300$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.911346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors67c2,282$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.251,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…d826backed Raptors67c2,002$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.711637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x963e…61ccbacked Raptors67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.96850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+81.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz4c1,914$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.238783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0d…68edbacked Jazz33c1,700$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.591040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raptors65c1,652$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.2249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Raptors67c1,583$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.3933752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors66c1,563$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Raptors67c1,520$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.5720851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Jazz33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9718…fa5dbacked Raptors66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz1c1,500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb703…6f88backed Jazz34c1,499$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.661050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz1c1,472$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.971,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors66c1,326$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.61,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz6c1,218$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0870640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Jazz33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Raptors73c1,200$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32410058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Raptors65c1,133$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.5416563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raptors67c1,003$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.9757760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Jazz33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.762352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Jazz7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…f73abacked Raptors67c999.94$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.981040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Jazz2c970.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz33c800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26436434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Raptors67c799.77$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3250453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Raptors68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.296848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Jazz31c658.21$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.059836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…261fbacked Jazz33c638.16$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.186129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Jazz8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Raptors69c500$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Raptors66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raptors65c499.96$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Jazz11c425$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.758337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Raptors75c401.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6484957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Raptors66c399.55$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8315365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1106…9e55backed Jazz33c382.82$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.331145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Raptors68c380$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.422955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…9d0cbacked Jazz34c372.71$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.724854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Jazz27c337.04$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz33c326$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0ee5backed Jazz34c320.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10928651.4%147 W · 139 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Jazz32c303.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2719845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jazz33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors67c302.07$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7272341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz24c300$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7168642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Raptors67c299.97$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4945743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0271…63abbacked Raptors68c297.06$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.061250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Jazz34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Jazz21c287.36$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8236751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Jazz4c286$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7150047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e0…c6c4backed Jazz33c283.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.414351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2b…525abacked Jazz33c276.68$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.34528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors65c273.51$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7308…8058backed Raptors67c262.89$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.899245.7%42 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Jazz20c250$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8339843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Jazz21c249.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Raptors67c247$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.513171%22 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe53…b190backed Jazz33c234.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.424560%27 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Jazz33c227.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Jazz31c227.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e82…6060backed Jazz33c219.3$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.372958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz13c205.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.441,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Jazz20c200.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4137831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd446…acacbacked Raptors65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb6…71b9backed Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f37…6c72backed Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x951c…97d8backed Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705735.1%20 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc499…a566backed Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706154.1%33 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d6…86bdbacked Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1462…17d0backed Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705360.4%32 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa379…789cbacked Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacea…446cbacked Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705560%33 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7458…2f77backed Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ef…994bbacked Raptors65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6906…c107backed Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705664.3%36 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb54d…499fbacked Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca8…0673backed Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf143…527dbacked Raptors65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705561.8%34 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…3e0ebacked Raptors65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705561.8%34 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x090f…60b0backed Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x263e…c045backed Jazz35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705642.9%24 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d6f…2b79backed Raptors65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.