TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x54e7…e35f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
677
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT22955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 229 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.99
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+42.7%+$469.6
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+88.6%+$304.21
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$285
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$314.55
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$243.31
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+102%+$2,206.1
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$265
Kings vs. Magicbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,001.6
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,091.79
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,178
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,241.99
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$770
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+96.5%+$835
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+67.9%+$679.3
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.8
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$329.1
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$528
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$369
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$381.53
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$348.4
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+155.6%+$1,399.99
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$540
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$450.5
Showing 25 of 229 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT12954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,817Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+206.5%+$3,752.52
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,139.98
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$82.8
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.9
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$156.8
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$723.9
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$542.4
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.94
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$891.93
US Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchovabacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$363
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Jaume Munarbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$413.58
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Cori Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,003.2
US Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$100
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$770
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
US Open: Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,278Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$522
US Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Jiri Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$155
US Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.2
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.13
US Open: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,496.9
US Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$105
US Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex de Minaurbacked de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$90
US Open: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+55.3%+$269.8
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$231
US Open: Taylor Townsend vs Mirra Andreevabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$593.5
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT9858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,480
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,334.63
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$249.9
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$501.2
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+115.8%+$173.77
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+400%+$400
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$224.38
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,699Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$1,180.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$798
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$475.5
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Everton win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$345.5
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$33
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$264
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$315
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$400
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$268
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$136
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$2,200
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$292.5
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$271.18
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$269.65
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$537.5
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$516.79
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+135.9%+$524.2
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+44.8%+$651.3
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Juventus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,307.1
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,755Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$744.99
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+50.1%+$535.22
Will Monterrey beat Urawa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$138
Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$419.99
Will River Plate beat Inter Milan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$115
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Ulsan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$240
Will Chelsea beat Esperance Sportive?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+37.4%+$367.5
Will Benfica beat Bayern Munich?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.9
Will FC Porto beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,054.4
Will Atlético Madrid beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$440
Will Al Hilal beat RB Salzburg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.97
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$298.54
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST5251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$119.08
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.9
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,625
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$507.6
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+37.7%+$139.6
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$518.9
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+30.7%+$53.4
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$198.55
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$72.2
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$250.8
Will a rookie QB win during wildcard weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+159%+$159.6
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.6
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$179.6
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$100
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$147
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$35.1
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$137.84
Lions vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$102.3
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$52.5
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$213.6
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$29.9
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2025, EST329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$513.99
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$249.18
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$287.69
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$235.9
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+1,302.3%+$1,576.09
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$117.74
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$568.93
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$144.4
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$235.1
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$524.14
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50.3
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Will Andrew Tate tweet 200-219 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Andrew Tate tweet 160-179 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon tweet 450-499 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$507.14
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+293.5%+$2,012.88
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$278.38
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$80.5
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$289.5
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,616.38
Will Andrew Tate tweet 140-149 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+900%+$270
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$71.1
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$136.5
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$189.54
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$36.25
Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross less than $16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+144.3%+$443
Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross between $16-20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$185.65
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $16-19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Timothée Chalamet win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.56
Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$187.1
Will Adrien Brody win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$54
Will Zoe Saldaña win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$66.6
Will Ariana Grande win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.21
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$11.5
Will 'Sonic 3' gross more than $80m on 3-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+223.9%+$233.15
'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?backed Mufasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$1,155.69
Will "Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score be below 60?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+538.3%+$379.5
Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$37.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.01
Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.5
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+170.6%+$164.42
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,433Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+103.2%+$1,478.93
Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$255.72
Will the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,358.32
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,581Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+123%+$3,174.38
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.84
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$154.7
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+27.6%+$151.1
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$142.5
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$1,993.42
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$100.28
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44.15
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$969.93
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+54.2%+$270.55
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$264
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,019.2
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$397.5
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$152.5
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$331.31
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$61.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300.95
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+400%+$40
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+25%+$6
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$336.5
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$114
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+60.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$73.33
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+220.9%+$103.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Best Country Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$95.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$504
Alabama vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$221
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Slovenia vs Polandbacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$252
Euro Basket: Greece vs Italybacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$420
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$168
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold Cup Final Winner: USA vs. Mexico backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$252
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,268Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+65.6%+$831
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.