World Politics · resolved market
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa096c4c14af77593e170d583a508d6ed8849cf406412d416020028f015020fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $434,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc123…50afbacked No | 53c | 21,465$11,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,168.66 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 10c | 20,103$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.36 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 59c | 19,211$11,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,818.16 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 14,140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked Yes | 64c | 9,429$6,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,351$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 32c | 5,208$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,667$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 56c | 4,475$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.19 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…e32fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,462$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…6920backed No | 68c | 4,090$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 29c | 3,916$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.41 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 55c | 3,466$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.64 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed No | 74c | 2,778$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.67 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 2,764$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.01 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 73c | 2,507$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.19 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 39c | 2,424$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.85 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…63a9backed Yes | 24c | 2,311$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.05 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 45c | 1,970$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 34c | 1,690$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 1,628$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.92 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed No | 79c | 1,586$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…d4d4backed Yes | 10c | 1,552$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 39c | 1,310$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.98 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 64c | 1,300$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 72c | 1,280$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.14 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 27c | 1,228$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.87 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 28c | 1,223$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.36 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 1,123$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.02 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 2c | 1,089$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,027$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked No | 74c | 976.99$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.68 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…3199backed No | 60c | 956.89$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…0c51backed No | 67c | 874$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 798.78$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.18 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 38c | 787.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8486…e4a7backed No | 46c | 745.25$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…45b1backed Yes | 35c | 723.6$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 35c | 690.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.68 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 74c | 685.59$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…005abacked No | 63c | 683.71$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 44c | 611.69$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.71 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…7844backed Yes | 33c | 591.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa7…5821backed Yes | 34c | 583.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 64c | 573$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.54 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed No | 61c | 527.64$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked Yes | 35c | 519.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 74c | 479.75$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed Yes | 67c | 453.13$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -5.6wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 59c | 443$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 45c | 407.1$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89e…1783backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +143%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…0581backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…b694backed Yes | 59c | 377.66$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 32cpaid | -86%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked No | 69c | 369.17$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 360.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 38c | 355$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 32c | 350$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…d82ebacked Yes | 38c | 339$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 62c | 320$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…8afbbacked No | 67c | 319.05$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f1…02bbbacked Yes | 39c | 317.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 34c | 314.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d10…e689backed No | 65c | 311$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 25c | 310$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…3e79backed No | 58c | 300$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 63c | 279.64$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 6c | 266$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 264$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…d1cfbacked No | 37c | 259.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…55c3backed No | 61c | 251.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…3afcbacked No | 31c | 250$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…fa38backed No | 68c | 246$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4c…472fbacked No | 64c | 235.82$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…314dbacked No | 64c | 228.87$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…37b4backed No | 74c | 228.78$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…a0babacked Yes | 26c | 228$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 204$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 125 | 6.4%8 W · 117 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130e…081fbacked Yes | 57c | 202.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…41c9backed Yes | 66c | 199.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…7038backed Yes | 50c | 199.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f9…c5d3backed Yes | 38c | 195.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 181.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 40c | 157.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed No | 70c | 153.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…535cbacked No | 65c | 153.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +175%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 58c | 140$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 48c | 130$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda4…4547backed Yes | 31c | 128.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 74c | 126$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ea…1f6bbacked No | 63c | 125.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +114%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?this page
- Will Anton Pisaroglu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will someone else win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.