TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ace…ed20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
313
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 59 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST7475.7%56 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.5%+$52.4
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.2
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62.5%+$37.52
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$11.64
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$10.6
Will Trump launch an NFT before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+35.9%+$13.21
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$25.77
Trump cabinet member out before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$15.99
Epstein Presidential Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.91
Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$3.79
Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Larry Page be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$20.52
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.4%+$8.2
Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$49.39
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+76.3%+$18.46
Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$18.24
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$34.9
Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$27.04
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.33
CHIPS Act repealed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$9.87
The 'Bill' Epstein Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+72.1%+$26
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT5375.5%40 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+56.9%+$71.05
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.44
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 63-64°F on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$72.37
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+30.8%+$42.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+56.6%+$28.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+73.8%+$61.68
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 64°F or higher on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$16.36
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 62-63°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+46%+$87.05
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 60-61°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$13.6
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+74.7%+$50.66
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$77.01
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 49°F or higher on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$9
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$25.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+64.1%+$11.55
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+39.6%+$40.73
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$83.34
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+72.6%+$44.15
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+28.4%+$11.08
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+43.2%+$9.8
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST3571.4%25 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+64.4%+$124.12
Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$42.3
Will 'Rule Breakers' gross between 6-9m on its opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Will 'Rule Breakers' gross less than 3m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$22.34
Will 'Rule Breakers' gross between 3-6m on its opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Will 'Last Breath' between 6-9m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+29.1%+$16.41
Will 'Last Breath' between 3-6m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Ryan Reynolds attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+55.4%+$23.67
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$89.1
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18
Will 'Wicked' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+31.3%+$26.2
Will 'The Brutalist' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25.34
Will "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+38.1%+$53.99
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+27.1%+$33.63
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$71.65
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$184.06
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+37.1%+$65.69
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Cinematography at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+27.7%+$25.16
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+43.9%+$56.72
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+45.8%+$44.08
Will "Anuja" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+46.2%+$21.2
Will "A Lien" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+84.3%+$18.09
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$39.17
Will "Porcelain War" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+44.7%+$33.04
Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+74.4%+$42.77
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.3%+$10.6
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.8%+$25.8
Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$8.2
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$14.86
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Will Trump visit Russia before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.4
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.58
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.18
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+73.3%+$47.02
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$46.59
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+63.5%+$142.74
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+56.8%+$72.22
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.05
Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+55.3%+$64.84
Trump cuts Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26.2
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$117.26
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" 10+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.91
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.78
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.1
Will Donald Trump say "Can you imagine" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+72.7%+$9.9
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$37.97
Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.7
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.39
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$18.4
Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+59.7%+$68.52
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+53.1%+$37.3
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$7.8
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$99.32
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$121.6
Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$7.25
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.9
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$112.69
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.9
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+62.2%+$291.43
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.43
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$6.9
Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$12.2
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+45.7%+$53.97
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Yoon reinstated as President before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$66.22
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.91
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.19
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+66.5%+$29.94
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+51.4%+$17.75
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+73.7%+$60.26
Will Jerome Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+58.5%+$41.79
Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.15
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 50 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$24.4
Will Fed end QT before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$63
Official Trump above $12.50 on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+54.2%+$50.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+95.4%+$14.33
Will Real Betis Beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Solana all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$17.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+69.7%+$31.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern Munich end in a Draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Champions Trophy Final: India vs. New Zealandbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.