Ukraine · resolved market
Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6104608801f44f9a32275c9a9bbe044414a64956000a1177362be5ef27e5ac44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,885,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,850,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,885,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c21…69debacked No | 0c | 2,107,362$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…9f1abacked No | 0c | 390,600$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bb…fb5bbacked No | 0c | 339,179$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…7e9cbacked No | 0c | 103,450$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c64…10a0backed No | 0c | 101,150$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…3622backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…d9d4backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3c…8402backed No | 0c | 99,990$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…a64fbacked No | 0c | 99,990$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…1d89backed No | 0c | 99,722$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd45…47e0backed No | 0c | 96,453$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…45c9backed No | 0c | 78,786$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…0236backed No | 0c | 71,580$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…257ebacked No | 0c | 59,468$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6477…707dbacked No | 0c | 56,572$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…0569backed No | 2c | 53,903$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed No | 1c | 53,610$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…b621backed No | 0c | 53,420$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b9…53dcbacked No | 0c | 52,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…5badbacked No | 0c | 51,639$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…db6dbacked No | 0c | 49,110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…c9f1backed No | 0c | 49,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…5894backed No | 0c | 48,580$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…5736backed No | 0c | 47,780$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 1c | 46,154$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +239.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…b079backed No | 0c | 43,530$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…351bbacked No | 0c | 42,703$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0559…3a28backed No | 0c | 42,290$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…8026backed No | 1c | 41,999$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe19e…3401backed No | 0c | 38,747$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…c918backed No | 0c | 34,160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ea…b481backed No | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…7252backed No | 0c | 30,018$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed No | 0c | 28,779$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…6454backed No | 0c | 27,760$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 5c | 24,445$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.14 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa05…ce6fbacked No | 1c | 20,714$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abf…c6cebacked No | 0c | 20,665$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…0e19backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…d9ddbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…b317backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7bddbacked No | 0c | 19,680$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…f1c0backed No | 1c | 16,583$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8574…54babacked No | 0c | 16,514$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 16,435$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca92…e3b7backed No | 1c | 15,500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…74a5backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…66c4backed No | 0c | 12,857$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…d361backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…fe47backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 0c | 11,557$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe645…2ed2backed No | 1c | 11,245$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…4815backed No | 1c | 11,001$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…f66abacked No | 2c | 10,689$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…995abacked No | 0c | 10,210$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 1c | 10,100$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…e2d3backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…83a4backed No | 0c | 9,570$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…bd80backed No | 1c | 8,842$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…0371backed No | 1c | 8,776$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 75c | 8,641$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.94 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b22…7974backed No | 1c | 8,187$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…27eabacked No | 4c | 8,115$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +400.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 1c | 8,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…b9cdbacked No | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c35…f4a1backed No | 1c | 7,421$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7f…c424backed No | 0c | 7,375$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 4c | 7,169$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.91 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb4…49bfbacked No | 1c | 7,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…8179backed No | 1c | 6,730$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 4c | 5,474$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…4cd6backed No | 1c | 5,429$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46f…47f4backed No | 1c | 5,360$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…bb4abacked No | 0c | 5,218$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8883…2e2dbacked No | 1c | 5,006$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d1…99e7backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…3d55backed No | 1c | 4,940$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…b82abacked No | 0c | 4,888$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1034backed No | 0c | 4,737$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…ba44backed No | 0c | 4,390$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 0c | 4,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…e859backed No | 1c | 4,333$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…2362backed No | 0c | 4,310$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…8452backed No | 1c | 4,286$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 1c | 4,230$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…646dbacked No | 1c | 4,150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 41c | 4,128$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.78 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…3548backed No | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…b890backed No | 1c | 3,897$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…45d2backed No | 1c | 3,875$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed No | 4c | 3,873$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked No | 54c | 3,729$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…002bbacked No | 14c | 3,723$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…21a8backed No | 1c | 3,700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2828…1e68backed No | 0c | 3,365$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b83…e97abacked No | 1c | 3,349$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.