TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd42f…047d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,046
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
28

Best Category: Tweets, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST32438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 324 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$671.41
Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$57.88
Will the Washington Commanders win the NFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+36.7%+$56.15
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,689Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+44.5%+$751.67
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$1,979.96
49ers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,836Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+99.8%+$9,816.07
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$8,195.98
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+72%+$6,699.99
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,633Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+218.5%+$12,310.45
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$7,990Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+200.4%+$16,009.81
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$10,869.81
Giants vs. Falconsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$1,329.93
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$1,431.39
Rams vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$7,819.83
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$9,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$9,179.91
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$28,191.44
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,462Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+78%+$8,164.44
Falcons vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$27,372.34
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$18,996.81
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+71.3%+$7,241.04
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$57.63
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$3,018.56
Colts vs. Broncosbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$4,235.95
Patriots vs. Cardinalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$3,665.72
Buccaneers vs. Chargersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,080Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+145.3%+$11,740.03
Showing 25 of 324 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT22832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 228 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,000
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,337.71
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+278.8%+$36.8
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
Will the LA Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,308.55
Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.44
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,550.84
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,547.29
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,698.53
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$2,866.2
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.17
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,684.85
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+109.1%+$209.79
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,291.71
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$186.36
Thunder vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.92
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$3,431.28
Showing 25 of 228 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2025, EDT6021.7%13 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Ron DeSantis be a member of the Trump administration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$233.33
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.32
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.51
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$267
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+354.3%+$534.4
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$74.38
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$161.11
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$960.64
Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.82
Supreme Court vacancy in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$686.26
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$3,367.51
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$10,517.16
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+51.3%+$241.22
Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$15.28
Will Trump nominate Marc Rowan for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$17.48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh for Treasury Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+67.4%+$8.85
Will Trump say "Illegal" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+68.1%+$12.87
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$54.92
Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$34.79
Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Secretary of State?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$10.13
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST6011.7%7 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-76.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel parliament dissolves in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.95
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.69
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.49
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,565Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+106.4%+$2,727.73
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48,017Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+41.4%+$19,868.3
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$514.26
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$14.84
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$35.16
ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$22.2
Palestine a UN member state before U.S. election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$83.28
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before U.S. election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$138.25
Netanyahu out by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$72.79
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$79.31
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$35
ICC issues an arrest warrant for Yahya Sinwar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+228.4%+$68.85
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$624.96
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,395.71
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT+58%+$159.77
Iran strike on Israel before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.6
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.22
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+35.9%+$250.92
Hezbollah enters Israel in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.95
Israel withdraws from Gaza before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$122.19
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$382.47
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST5617.9%10 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $MOODENG be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.66
Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?backed $WIF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$78.89
Trump post about a memecoin before election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$25.86
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,080Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+76.6%+$3,123.72
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$321.29
pump.fun airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.5
Swell airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$40.6
Aleo airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+155%+$37.91
Puffer airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+139.7%+$15.75
Will Trump mention $boden before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$99.45
MarginFi airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+84.2%+$298.92
Initia airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$102.5
Berachain airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+84.5%+$367.47
Mantle airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.84
Swell airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$159.21
Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$280.21
Zircuit airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+33.9%+$54.63
Puffer airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+62%+$476.99
Linea airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$423.97
Rabby airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$190.32
Scroll airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$76.09
Rainbow airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$541.06
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,031.37
Blast airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$127.17
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT4427.3%12 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+368.7%+$314.63
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+145.2%+$262.93
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$8,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$8,606.2
Maduro out in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.88
Canada federal election in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$406.23
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$385.09
UK civil war in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.7
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$5,185.34
South Korean President impeached by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$1,693.36
Will Brazil unban X before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Labour win 450 or more seats in the next UK Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT+145.6%+$115.03
Will Labour win 425-449 seats in the next UK Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$345.45
Will Labour win 350-374 seats in the next UK Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.53
Will Labour win 375-399 seats in the next UK Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$67.23
Jeremy Corbyn elected to parliament in UK election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT+85.3%+$97.02
Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT+120.4%+$78.03
Will Labour win 325-349 seats in the next UK Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.92
Will Labour win 400-424 seats in the next UK Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT+733.3%+$418.07
Labour wins a majority of seats in UK election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$111.52
Will Labour win less than 325 seats in the next UK Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$86.2
Court blocks Biden executive order on immigration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+159.1%+$43.81
North Korea x South Korea military clash in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$89.01
Will FdI receive more than 27% of votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$48.4
Will Ensemble! receives over 16% of votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will PS receives over 14% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$23.65
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT3215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,437.91
Will Auburn make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$309
Will Texas Tech win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Florida win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$505
Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,093.02
Will Norfolk State win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Grand Canyon win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked UC San Diego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,822.62
Drake vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,315.09
Arkansas vs. Kansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+179.9%+$1,551.68
Will Clemson win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
VCU vs. BYUbacked VCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,788.96
McNeese State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,067.49
Will SIU Edwardsville win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.89
Creighton vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,369.62
UConn v. Purdue: Over/Under 144.5 points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$244.7
UConn beats Purdue by >6.5 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$598.93
March Madness: UConn vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$77.1
March Madness: Will a #1 seed win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$776.35
March Madness: Purdue vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
Women's March Madness: Iowa vs. LSUbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
March Madness: Sum of Final Four seeds >10.5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT+204.6%+$23.55
March Madness: Duke vs. NC Statebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$121.61
March Madness: Tennessee vs. Purduebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$790.24
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2024, EST3141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$216.42
Will Leicester vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$17.39
Will Newcastle beat Wolverhampton?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,291.76
Will Chelsea beat Bournemouth?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$855.76
Will Aston Villa beat Everton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+54.6%+$212
Will Crystal Palace vs. Leicester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$123.5
Will Crystal Palace beat Leicester City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+156.4%+$271.48
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,747.62
Manchester United sacks Erik ten Hag?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$22
Will France win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+426.3%+$89.91
Will Brazil win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+895.3%+$179.9
Will Georgia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$16.13
Will Czechia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$62.15
Will the match be a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$79.92
Will Poland win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$52.22
Will Austria win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$109.99
Will Denmark win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will the match be a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$79.92
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+138.1%+$64.38
Will the match be a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.43
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Finalbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$216.58
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$90
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich: Who will advance?backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2024, EDT+52.6%+$92.42
PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund: Who will advance?backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2024, EDT+120.3%+$628
Will West Ham win the Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.1
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT2516%4 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+119.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Feds raid Jay-Z before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.83
Will 'Fortnight' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
Will 'TEXAS HOLD 'EM' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$143.96
Will Lana Del Rey dump her boyfriend before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.84
Will Diddy plead guilty to any charges?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.23
Shkreli settles over Wu-Tang album before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT+96.5%+$13.64
Kanye drops music in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT+4,933.2%+$2,606.49
Drake drops new track by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.35
Kendrick drops new track by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.81
Drake or Kendrick higher on Billboard Hot 100 this week?backed Drake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$61.92
Kendrick drops new track by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$65.59
Vultures 2 on Spotify by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.5
Drake drops new track by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$106.95
Kendrick drops new track by Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$296.59
Kendrick drops another track by midnight?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$116.87
Kendrick's "Euphoria" in Billboard top 10 week of May 11? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.4
Kanye drops Vultures 2 by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$122.05
Kendrick drops music in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$225.2
Taylor Swift engaged by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.59
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$76.8
Diddy arrested before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$456.76
Will Fantano rate new Tswift album above 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2024, EDT+27.5%+$46.56
Sex tapes at Diddy's property confirmed by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$56.19
Diddy flees US by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$35.16
All 25 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2024, EST2313%3 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$449.7
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross between $64-70m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$32.69
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross between $52-58m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$107.12
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross between $58-64m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$79.6
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross less than $16m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$71.11
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross more than $19m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$433.58
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross between $16-19m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+76.6%+$167.76
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$232.45
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $85m and $95m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$78.59
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$47.1
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' record September opening?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will 'Alien: Romulus' gross more than $50m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$45.33
Will 'Alien: Romulus' gross less than $44m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$41.2
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross more than $125m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will 'A Quiet Place: Day One' gross between $48m and $54m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+39.5%+$6.89
Will 'A Quiet Place: Day One' gross more than $54m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will 'Civil War' gross less than $17m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$101.36
Will 'Civil War' gross more than $23m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$426.56
Will 'Civil War' gross between $20-23m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$72.55
Will 'Civil War' gross between $17-20m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$142.15
Will 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' gross less than $50m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$64.09
Will 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' gross more than $65m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2024, EDT+180.9%+$216.97
Will 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' gross between $50m-57.5m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$104.32
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST2035%7 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$329.96
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,318Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+34.2%+$2,841.28
Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,462Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+99.5%+$2,449.9
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT+246.1%+$177.76
Will Trump tweet 10-19 times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$47.46
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT+49.6%+$33.14
Will Elon tweet 150 or more times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT+294.9%+$574.42
Will Trump tweet 9 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will Trump tweet 7 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.98
Will Trump tweet 6 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.95
Will Trump tweet 1 time this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Trump tweet 0 times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT+28.4%+$26.01
Will Elon tweet 120 or more times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$59.77
Will Elon tweet 100-109 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2024, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will Andrew Tate tweet between 240 and 259 times between June 12 and June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$114.99
Will Andrew Tate tweet between 220 and 239 times between June 12 and June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.78
Will Andrew Tate tweet between 200 and 219 times between June 12 and June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Trump tweet again by June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$122.71
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid-45.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$552.69
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+131.5%+$454.4
Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$145.59
Ukraine election scheduled in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.11
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.9
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+71.3%+$41.61
Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$239.5
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+68.6%+$42.12
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.3
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$29.69
Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$77.89
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$156.36
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.53
France sends military trainers to Ukraine before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$11.37
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,116.71
Will Biden let Ukraine strike Russia with US weapons?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$57.24
Ukraine aid package in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2024, EDT+79.7%+$144.75
Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.42
All 19 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pershing Square IPO in 2024? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$53.92
Roaring Kitty billionaire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.01
NVIDIA largest company before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$85.74
GME halted on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.52
Roaring Kitty billionaire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$715.56
$GME halted on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.43
$GME halted on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$63.61
$DJT market cap between $4b and $5b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT+27.9%+$41.39
$DJT market cap between $1b and $2b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$63.87
$DJT market cap between $2b and $3b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$142.41
$DJT market cap between $3b and $4b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$216.95
$DJT market cap less than $1b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$149.1
$DJT market cap greater than $5b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT+982.3%+$2,529.19
$DJT market cap less than $8b on April 5? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.44
$DJT market cap between $11-$12b on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.32
$DJT market cap between $10-$11b on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$77.38
$DJT market cap over $12b on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$134.24
$DJT market cap between $9-$10b on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.42
$DJT market cap between $8-$9b on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$109.65
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,895Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+59.4%+$1,125.15
Will Juan Soto sign with the New York Mets?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$27.36
World Series Champion: Dodgers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$532.94
Will the Yankees and Guardians combine for 9 or more runs scored?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,954.22
World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 3backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.16
World Series: Dodgers vs. Yankees Game 2backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,837.48
NLCS: Dodgers vs. Mets Game 6backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$663.1
Yankees vs. Guardians Series Winnerbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$115
ALCS: Guardians vs. Yankees Game 5backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$348.71
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 1backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$59.15
Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+100%+$499.49
ALDS: Royals vs. Yankees Game 4backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+88.5%+$199.49
Yankees vs Royals Series Winnerbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,918Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+51.1%+$1,490.08
ALDS: Royals vs. Yankees Game 3 backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT+100%+$398.65
NLDS: Mets vs. Phillies Game 4backed Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.27
ALDS: Tigers vs. Guardians Game 3backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$35.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2024, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 303: Who will win - Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka?backed Prochazka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.14
UFC 303: Who will win - Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes?backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$62.72
UFC 303: Who will win - Anthony Smith vs. Carlos Ulberg?backed Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT+100%+$50
UFC 303: Who will win - Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson?backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$80.28
UFC 303: Who will win - Ian Machado Garry vs. Michael Page?backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$75.43
McGregor vs. Chandler canceled?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2024, EDT+118.8%+$48.87
UFC 302: Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$188.28
UFC 302: Kevin Holland vs. Michael Oleksiejczukbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$44.7
UFC 302: Randy Brown vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santosbacked dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$213.78
UFC 302: Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costabacked Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT+51.1%+$51.21
UFC 300: Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hillbacked Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$56.61
UFC 300: Zhang Weili vs Yan Xiaonanbacked Xiaonan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$113.38
UFC 300: Arman Tsarukyan vs Charles Oliveirabacked Tsarukyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2024, EDT+55.9%+$67.06
UFC 300: Jiri Prochazka vs Aleksandar Rakicbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$102.95
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$78.35
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+43.1%+$49.48
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$599.66
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$1,040
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+104.1%+$132.93
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$130.42
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$674.94
Fed rate hike in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$197.56
Fed emergency rate cut in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.38
US inflation >0.0% from May to June 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$104.06
US inflation >0.3% from March to April 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$234.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pam Bondi confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$206.28
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$814.48
Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+204.9%+$151.64
Senate control after 2024 election?backed Republicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$123,553Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+34.9%+$43,058.69
Will Stancil wins Minnesota House Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$488.71
Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.17
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$178.49
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$560.48
Will Colin Allred win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2024, EST-100%-$34.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-74.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-79.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+28.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Copa America: Argentina vs. Canada backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$112.66
Copa America: Uruguay vs. Brazil - Who will advance? backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$397.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32.77
SpaceX Starship launch by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2024, EDT+31.4%+$19.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$1,735.32
Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 2, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LSU win by 5 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$169.56
Will LSU beat USC?backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT+40.4%+$11.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sun vs. Fever Series Winnerbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,600
Caitlin Clark scores 20+ against Mystics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$436.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,894.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scottie Scheffler assault charge dropped?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$38.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$113.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.