Will England win?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc8aa052614e9b483dc411f2388bcc087db207ea1c4ab4a22e493eb26302b252

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 20, 2024, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $121,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $122,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,564 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes	59c	45,025$26,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,364	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7d…197cbacked No	39c	42,008$16,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,436.65	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No	40c	20,009$8,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,995.4	227	44.5%101 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…3587backed Yes	62c	18,433$11,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,362.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x364c…b541backed Yes	60c	16,612$9,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,966.9	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb89f…7036backed Yes	61c	9,976$6,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,115.7	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed No	42c	8,564$3,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,927.56	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…d337backed No	41c	7,500$3,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,425	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf4…7883backed No	42c	4,315$1,797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,517.78	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf572…545abacked Yes	60c	4,167$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No	39c	3,992$1,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,439.99	153	28.8%44 W · 109 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	40c	2,445$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,466.76	319	44.5%142 W · 177 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdf…fb6cbacked Yes	61c	2,212$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,359.65	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c3d…1c99backed Yes	61c	1,644$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes	58c	1,489$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.39	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f5f…a98fbacked Yes	62c	1,300$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f4…49e7backed Yes	56c	1,224$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.17	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb3…f603backed Yes	60c	1,125$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7012…14a4backed Yes	59c	1,095$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.07	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe773…5459backed Yes	1c	1,044$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6757…998dbacked Yes	61c	979.64$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.24	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No	42c	868$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.44	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477d…e691backed Yes	60c	866.67$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes	60c	833.33$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb6…b350backed Yes	60c	666.67$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc88f…987abacked No	41c	658.54$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.54	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc82…76b5backed Yes	8c	599.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.35	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10c1…f940backed Yes	61c	512$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e82…64abbacked No	72c	504.53$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.05	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7be…c2ebbacked Yes	61c	493.09$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4952…4d90backed Yes	53c	442.48$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.7	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+113%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcba…04ddbacked Yes	60c	374.56$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.88	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c8…1d90backed Yes	60c	333.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c9b…9a48backed Yes	60c	284.08$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.45	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes	59c	250.13$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.58	420	43.8%184 W · 236 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0476…5794backed Yes	60c	250$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19f…e94abacked Yes	61c	248.89$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.82	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e70…9047backed Yes	53c	243.46$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.13	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade0…dbacbacked Yes	65c	219.97$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf732…7c06backed Yes	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x668d…97d2backed No	39c	200$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+50%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f24…513ebacked No	20c	200$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Yes	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd8f…a2f9backed Yes	61c	197.48$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b9…30dbbacked Yes	61c	188.52$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3b…9b82backed Yes	58c	175.52$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes	60c	175$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	65cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb6c…0307backed Yes	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf98…2759backed Yes	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0877…ba5abacked Yes	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f21…b376backed No	41c	150$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.5	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed Yes	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	+5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c10…eb52backed Yes	59c	150$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6fb…0c67backed Yes	59c	120.79$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked No	42c	111$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.38	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4470…7351backed Yes	60c	101.58$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.95	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-8.3wins	-0.22per pick	59cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7f76…33c5backed No	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.19per pick	40cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cbb…7dddbacked Yes	61c	94.11$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.41	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed No	56c	92$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.04	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41dc…fecbbacked Yes	61c	83.51$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.94	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfc7…1897backed Yes	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa130…778bbacked Yes	60c	82.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes	61c	82.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.04	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7e…442abacked Yes	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	66cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7e…518fbacked Yes	58c	68.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…507ebacked No	41c	60.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.98	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed Yes	46c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.72	136	52.2%71 W · 65 L	+10.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66ea…e85cbacked Yes	61c	56.23$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Yes	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-6.4wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc200…7c74backed Yes	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…0d22backed No	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…9aecbacked Yes	60c	48.63$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.18	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	43cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1527…15a5backed Yes	46c	48.09$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked No	41c	44.97$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.53	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e1…bb47backed No	42c	40.09$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.09	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a03…6e17backed Yes	53c	37.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcba7…c0edbacked Yes	59c	37.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.27	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9011…03a9backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3f…becdbacked Yes	59c	32.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.40per pick	57cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0db2…35eebacked Yes	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d9…290cbacked Yes	60c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.18per pick	41cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb489…2632backed Yes	62c	22.58$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6046…b1d1backed Yes	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…c6b2backed Yes	61c	19.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c72…6f9ebacked Yes	60c	18.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will England win?this page
Will Denmark win?No won
Will the match be a draw?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will England win?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event