TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ec5…9fe0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
312
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT16853%89 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 168 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.98
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$248.44
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$851.89
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+164.8%+$62.62
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$244.02
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Spread: Bucks (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+77.1%+$77.12
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$141.18
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$110.96
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+30.6%+$91.88
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+46.9%+$147.67
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$738.69
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$69.85
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 168 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8727.6%24 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$614.29
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$575
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$244.12
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+102%+$51
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+30.5%+$121.98
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$33
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+34.5%+$172.42
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$162
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.1%+$49.14
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.66
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$248.47
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)backed FC Seoul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Beijing Guoan FC 2 - 1 Liaoning Tieren FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,174.53
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$384.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.