NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x736d500631433cce8232dd0a0762ea4a5d4d846494d4de613e37d1746344df07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 57c | 3,853$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Suns | 53c | 2,795$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.58 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 45c | 2,198$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.54 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 44c | 2,076$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.04 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c15fbacked Celtics | 47c | 1,993$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Celtics | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Celtics | 41c | 1,404$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.31 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 54c | 1,362$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Celtics | 47c | 1,265$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.2 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 56c | 1,132$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Celtics | 41c | 679.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.99 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 36c | 596.22$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Suns | 59c | 508.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 45c | 424.28$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.35 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Celtics | 47c | 421$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.13 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Suns | 58c | 399.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Suns | 57c | 399.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 42c | 358.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 47c | 295.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Suns | 55c | 288.64$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Celtics | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 59c | 260$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Celtics | 47c | 212.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Celtics | 42c | 209.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Suns | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Celtics | 42c | 198$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Celtics | 53c | 190.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Suns | 58c | 173.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Suns | 59c | 170.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 42c | 142.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Celtics | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 42c | 121.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 41c | 102.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Suns | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Suns | 57c | 87.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Suns | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Suns | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Celtics | 67c | 82.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Celtics | 43c | 76.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Celtics | 65c | 72.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…f051backed Celtics | 38c | 56.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Celtics | 45c | 55.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…4eaabacked Celtics | 43c | 50.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 41c | 50.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Celtics | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Celtics | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Celtics | 68c | 42.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…4ffebacked Celtics | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Celtics | 43c | 35.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…31c9backed Suns | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Celtics | 44c | 34.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Suns | 59c | 32.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 51c | 30.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Suns | 37c | 29.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Celtics | 43c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Suns | 43c | 25.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Celtics | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Suns won
- Celtics vs. SunsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 203.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 204.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 205.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 207.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 210.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 211.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.