NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac733d7f748c80442a3d40a76b82df6ebbb119d7a04a8abb1aaf88713e7660ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 50c | 21,989$10,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,926.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 50c | 20,886$10,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,357.58 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Suns | 49c | 17,571$8,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,609.59 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 50c | 10,395$5,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,197.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics | 50c | 9,747$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.24 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 50c | 9,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Celtics | 50c | 8,888$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 51c | 7,598$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.52 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 42c | 7,025$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Celtics | 50c | 7,000$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Suns | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Suns | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Suns | 50c | 3,968$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.03 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Suns | 50c | 3,099$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.6 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Celtics | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Celtics | 54c | 2,910$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.25 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 46c | 2,375$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Suns | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Suns | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Suns | 49c | 1,937$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.5 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…49cebacked Suns | 50c | 1,924$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 51c | 1,739$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Celtics | 50c | 1,698$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Suns | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Celtics | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 49c | 1,239$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Suns | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Celtics | 49c | 999.93$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 50c | 819.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Celtics | 50c | 706$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 50c | 571$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Suns | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Celtics | 53c | 397.64$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.89 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Celtics | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Celtics | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Celtics | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Suns | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Suns | 47c | 244$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Celtics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Celtics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Celtics | 52c | 188.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Celtics | 51c | 176.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Celtics | 49c | 171.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns | 49c | 153$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 51c | 151.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Suns | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Celtics | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Celtics | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Suns | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics | 48c | 124.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Suns | 49c | 101.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics | 51c | 100.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Celtics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Celtics | 51c | 94.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Suns | 33c | 86.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Celtics | 52c | 81.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…9339backed Celtics | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Celtics | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…9f51backed Celtics | 51c | 69.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Suns | 48c | 62.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Celtics | 52c | 61.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Celtics | 51c | 61.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Celtics | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Celtics | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 45c | 54.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Celtics | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Celtics | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Celtics | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Celtics | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Celtics | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Celtics | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Celtics | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed Celtics | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Celtics | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Celtics | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Celtics | 42c | 27.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…5136backed Celtics | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Celtics | 50c | 22.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 49c | 22.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba11…0bd8backed Celtics | 52c | 22.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…4f7fbacked Celtics | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 52c | 21.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Suns | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Suns won
- Celtics vs. SunsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 203.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 204.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 205.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 207.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 210.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 211.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.