TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$345,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$351,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,049 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns53c80,247$42,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,377.212,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Suns55c74,000$40,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,70040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics45c61,622$27,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,892.081,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Celtics46c50,448$23,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,241.7732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Suns53c28,518$14,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,972.1338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics45c22,222$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,222.187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Celtics49c20,485$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,484.959250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Suns52c18,342$9,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,556.581,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Celtics49c14,805$7,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,566.9151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics48c12,363$5,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,428.895,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Suns48c10,363$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.9845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Suns54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics47c8,510$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics51c7,874$3,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,885.931,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Celtics52c7,328$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.4448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Suns54c7,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics47c6,612$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,489.463,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics48c6,218$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.941,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Celtics48c6,000$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1402,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Suns54c5,658$3,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,048.5557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Suns50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Celtics49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5507943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns53c4,269$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.069,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Celtics53c4,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90050653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics48c3,621$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics53c3,422$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Suns49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4701,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns52c2,879$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Suns50c2,826$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.2213642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Suns51c2,636$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.517348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Celtics51c2,575$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.6225951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Celtics52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9914356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Celtics45c1,922$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.111,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics45c1,689$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.8865750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns51c1,627$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.113,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Celtics46c1,589$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.5614448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Celtics46c1,575$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.4715656.4%88 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics45c1,570$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Celtics51c1,531$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.5150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Celtics47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79512245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Suns54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Suns55c1,455$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80013534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Celtics45c1,386$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.322143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Celtics52c1,241$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.8248054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Celtics52c1,227$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.9658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Suns48c1,160$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.6680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Suns48c1,156$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9518448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns49c1,128$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9636549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Celtics46c1,054$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.395364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Suns49c962.22$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4759843.9%43 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics48c887.96$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Celtics22c856.31$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.241,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Celtics50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics49c722.76$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.612,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Celtics49c660$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3351,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Celtics52c640.38$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.3818456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns52c618$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.131,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics49c565.87$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.033,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Celtics48c533.01$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1711942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Celtics51c516.68$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.6847651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Suns47c494.9$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.242,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Suns51c456.2$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6684150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Suns54c437.3$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Suns50c427.76$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.022,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Suns48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Celtics45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22023435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Suns50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed Celtics51c389.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.875048%24 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Suns49c388.18$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2121948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Celtics52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6219045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Celtics52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6214557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns50c378.19$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.83,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns55c365.89$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.492,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics49c351.26$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Suns62c334.6$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.781,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics51c309.88$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Suns55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Suns49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14752844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Suns49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Celtics50c277.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6847045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Suns48c270.2$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6940546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Celtics46c224.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.536643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Celtics46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3917148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Celtics50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Celtics53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Suns55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Celtics46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb451…37f3backed Suns55c196.36$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Celtics51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0852146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Suns55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Celtics52c180.77$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7790957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Suns57c175.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Suns60c167.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016853%89 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Celtics52c157$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3612642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Celtics52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8523847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics45c151.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.11,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Celtics46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8137750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Suns48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729853.1%52 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.