TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,595,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,706,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,595,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,098 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Suns35c541,196$187,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187,229.8548343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics65c319,501$207,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,825.4587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics67c243,051$162,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,378.062,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Celtics66c227,270$149,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,271.7943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Suns34c120,000$40,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,80040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns35c93,247$32,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,240.551,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Suns35c85,931$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0007758.4%45 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics67c82,132$55,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,824.215,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Suns32c46,875$14,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,790.629053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics67c46,000$30,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,1801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Suns33c42,831$14,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,297.39655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics65c37,149$24,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,943.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Celtics69c35,908$24,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,179.1551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Suns33c30,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.9637539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…68a0backed Celtics67c29,780$19,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,827.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Suns35c26,614$9,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,314.861,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Suns33c25,934$8,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,548.6122453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Suns0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Suns35c23,907$8,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,367.432540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics65c22,173$14,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,670.161,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics66c20,000$13,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,900.0138251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Celtics67c20,000$13,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60012251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Suns35c20,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00038253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Celtics67c19,999$13,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.6514243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Suns33c19,996$6,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,598.674856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2100…930cbacked Suns34c19,500$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6301154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Suns34c18,588$6,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,319.8120947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Suns31c18,379$5,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,613.6745850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics66c17,316$11,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,887.451,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Suns33c17,282$5,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,703.0459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Suns34c16,606$5,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,64617356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Suns1c16,478$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1216919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics66c16,253$10,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,484.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics67c15,855$10,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,245.94,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Celtics66c15,021$9,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,157.2281529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Celtics67c14,925$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.3718747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5d…17fdbacked Suns34c13,551$4,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,607.251450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics65c13,546$8,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,674.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Suns28c13,500$3,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,797.4728649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Suns1c13,298$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.413179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics70c11,816$8,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,601.313,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d9…2ab9backed Suns6c11,800$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Celtics65c11,404$7,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,991.391,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Suns0c11,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Suns22c10,978$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.161,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Celtics69c10,825$7,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,327.1762652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Suns30c10,582$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,16513534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Suns31c10,500$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.9935547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Suns34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40021549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Celtics73c9,500$6,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.9613959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Suns33c9,446$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.1831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Suns34c9,120$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.82832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Celtics67c8,603$5,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.999531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Suns33c8,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64013642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Celtics64c7,774$4,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.2158740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics62c7,526$4,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,845.0442348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Suns34c7,438$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.0113842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Suns0c7,358$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.725213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics69c7,215$4,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.621,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Celtics69c7,144$4,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.5761851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Suns34c6,738$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.3117348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Celtics71c6,683$4,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.9916162.7%101 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Suns35c6,462$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.738063.8%51 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Suns30c6,359$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.919957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Suns31c6,148$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,91042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Suns35c6,115$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.46848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics67c6,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Suns34c6,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.9454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Suns34c5,824$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.824942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics66c5,819$3,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.482,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ea…9a8cbacked Suns34c5,811$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.864153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed Suns33c5,500$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8151752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Celtics69c5,400$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6749054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Suns31c5,400$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.988640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Suns34c5,294$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics70c5,282$3,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.934,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Suns31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Suns30c5,000$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.0825947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33f3…0af2backed Celtics69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5503100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Celtics65c5,000$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.6222140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Celtics67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65014450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Suns35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Suns43c5,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.982035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Suns31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9712745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Celtics59c4,886$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.796352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Celtics66c4,843$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.2272450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics70c4,536$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Suns33c4,500$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.968644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Suns33c4,440$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.211940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Celtics67c4,341$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.3862144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Suns1c4,324$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.881,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Suns27c4,264$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.2851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns1c4,255$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.551,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1779…eef2backed Suns12c4,220$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.8810936.7%40 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Celtics70c4,200$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26029250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Celtics72c4,150$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.0852760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Suns33c4,062$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.4636950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Celtics66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Celtics69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Suns31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.998052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.