TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe64f…7d71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$887.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,830Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$4,669.98
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,535.97
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25,536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$27,944.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$568.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,549.97
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,042.97
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,400
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,524.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$8,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$11,285
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,937Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,936.72
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,961.55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$622.19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,063.39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,910.5
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$3,350
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$5,278.96
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,252.23
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,186.1
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,677Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,548
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,249.98
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,915Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$1,615.71
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,300
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$6,345.54
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+158.8%+$1,039.77
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.21
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,584
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,419.2
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,922.11
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,513Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,026.6
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$89.5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,860Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$3,089.61
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.11
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14,088Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$3,524.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$806
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,806Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+462.6%+$8,352.66
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,040
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,674.3
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,550
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,699.99
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.4%+$175.38
All 19 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,635
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$505.6
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,500
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,200
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,568Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+209.8%+$5,388.22
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,305
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,363.12
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$4,810
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,553Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+54%+$1,918.63
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.48
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,689.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.72
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,314.56
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,033.99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$8,799.99
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,799.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+177.8%+$2,176
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,006
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,040.8
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$1,569.1
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$587.85
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,523.2
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,403.58
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$3,043.78
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,725
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.75
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,128.84
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,899.88
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$1,278.43
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$4,510
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$504
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,030Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$2,970
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,815
All 17 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,054.4
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,013Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,562
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Dakota Hope · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.03
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,207.66
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,822.8
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Kurtis Campbell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.6
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.27
UFC Fight Night: Antonio Trocoli vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Antonio Trocoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.78
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Louie Sutherland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,506.34
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Shem Rock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,596.4
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,354Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+86.9%+$2,045.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+71.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,105.08
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$527
Maple Leafs vs. Bluesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,205
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,152.73
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$78.02
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,056Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$967.36
All 6 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$507.5
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,809.58
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,439.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$3,067.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.