NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd14794fb42aca697fb532cd1f3ebf79d0757aeac6b99e49f192658f60cc68398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Maple Leafs, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $564,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $675,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Blues | 58c | 96,606$56,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,170.65 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Blues | 57c | 91,882$52,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,176.57 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 71,876$29,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,811.52 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Blues | 58c | 65,702$38,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,594.99 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,500 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 37,331$15,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,679 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Blues | 57c | 15,875$9,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,826.26 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 12,500$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…6fadbacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 11,940$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 9,869$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.46 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blues | 57c | 9,655$5,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.24 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 9,252$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Blues | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.97 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 8,750$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blues | 77c | 7,931$6,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.88 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Blues | 56c | 6,378$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.13 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 5,885$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.88 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 5,250$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 5,250$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.19 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 5,218$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.74 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 4,869$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.55 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Blues | 73c | 4,718$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.71 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 4,333$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.82 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 3,923$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.76 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Blues | 58c | 3,745$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Blues | 65c | 3,708$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.61 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Blues | 57c | 3,484$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.23 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Maple Leafs | 7c | 3,371$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.18 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Blues | 58c | 3,290$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.78 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 3,239$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.36 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Blues | 57c | 3,038$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.49 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,908$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.46 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,701$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.89 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,450$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,005$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.3 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 25c | 1,916$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.31 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,906$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.52 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,626$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blues | 76c | 1,530$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.58 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Maple Leafs | 9c | 1,444$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Blues | 57c | 1,344$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Blues | 78c | 1,341$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Blues | 57c | 1,314$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.11 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,312$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 1,292$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.29 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,095$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.83 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Blues | 58c | 1,091$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.96 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 1,078$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 1,025$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 943.75$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.81 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 885$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.55 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Blues | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 787.48$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.74 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 20c | 761.72$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.34 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…d14fbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 760$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa0…c519backed Blues | 57c | 740$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…6bb7backed Blues | 57c | 720$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…cfe3backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…6ca2backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blues | 69c | 581.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.2 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 575.28$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.73 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 555.15$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.09 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 545.35$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Blues | 56c | 518.14$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 7c | 506.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 500.07$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.53 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Blues | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Blues | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b716backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Maple Leafs | 12c | 485.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Blues | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…f0cfbacked Blues | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…3b6ebacked Blues | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…802dbacked Blues | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Blues | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 365.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…640fbacked Blues | 57c | 358.91$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 352.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 351$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Blues | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Bluesthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Blues: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.