TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5bec…b215

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT16442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47,715Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56,013.81
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70,752Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$114,965.3
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norwaybacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.92
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86,999.97
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$204,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$204,999.35
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15,618Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+231.9%+$36,213.7
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,462Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8,220.19
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$87,392Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+147.8%+$129,168.01
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$216,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$216,971.83
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$289,105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+160.8%+$464,798.2
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$245,649Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+187.6%+$460,794.47
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$165,364Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+160.6%+$265,568.94
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,753.98
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21,734Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$24,508.8
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44,994Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$46,574.85
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,256.14
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45,936Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$60,766.27
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$190,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$190,651.63
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22,121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18,843.64
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers backed Canes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36,761Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$10,105.32
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,122.45
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,500
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,328.36
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45,562.21
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$76,993.17
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99,199.63
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.03
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,671.72
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56,404Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$114,516.34
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$907.3
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85,199.85
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.82
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.69
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$62,105.16
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,525.17
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,434.71
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90,729Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$123,983.14
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90,858Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$37,812.48
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,860.79
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.46
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14,265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9,509.82
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,832.44
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.16
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,965
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$9,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,344.74
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,756Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$864.69
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$440.72
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$31,999.91
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10,097Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$22,057.02
Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,848.69
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16,235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$17,079.32
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30,278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$28,255.07
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,972Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$5,054.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42,833Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$40,004.82
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.67
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$8,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,135.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.83
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.73
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,956Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,621.15
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$365.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,773.08
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11,515Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6,477.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,567.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.