TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$862,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $862,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Yes2c58,143$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.33336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes0c44,163$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8810318.4%19 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes0c33,099$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.395129.4%15 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Yes2c33,066$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.237549.3%37 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c26,686$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2595742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes2c17,362$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.9735439.8%141 W · 213 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes0c15,715$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.722030%6 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561f…e4fabacked Yes0c13,642$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Yes3c13,378$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.6731146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes3c11,752$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.81323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+369.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes0c11,653$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.371010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-69.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3879…d8c3backed Yes0c11,135$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Yes3c10,569$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007638.2%29 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c10,351$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes3c10,002$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.959134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes3c9,759$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1511919.3%23 W · 96 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes3c9,685$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.591,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c9,434$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.22,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c9,100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-87%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x452f…9b78backed Yes2c9,027$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.42839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes3c9,002$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.376,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes2c7,956$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.91711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-63.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes3c7,654$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.338226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Yes3c7,258$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6053…8908backed Yes3c6,968$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-66.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes1c6,272$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9970%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes3c6,069$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7345737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Yes0c5,901$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2612033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c78…fc3cbacked Yes0c5,819$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes1c5,546$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5565652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d7…c766backed Yes0c5,513$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.551414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick8cpaid-45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad9…c300backed Yes4c5,433$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007749.4%38 W · 39 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe641…798abacked Yes1c5,221$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.97137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes2c5,114$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7110622.6%24 W · 82 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes1c5,060$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1513330.1%40 W · 93 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes2c5,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes2c4,944$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.99933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes3c4,754$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.89224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Yes2c4,487$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.373240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes2c4,457$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.611747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes1c4,039$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.65427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes3c3,600$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Yes2c3,026$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160a…56f6backed Yes3c3,004$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fa…9611backed Yes1c2,659$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Yes1c2,457$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.722250%11 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+78%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes1c2,324$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215411.1%6 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef8…a4edbacked Yes1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.631414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-71.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c2,114$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.32550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf2…d272backed Yes2c2,100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110335%36 W · 67 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4daa…0e1dbacked Yes1c2,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-75.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4e…dec9backed Yes1c1,999$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-84.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes3c1,852$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-61.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes2c1,795$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.512623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes2c1,714$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.57573.5%2 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-89.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes2c1,672$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2160%0 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes3c1,655$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2747453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b2…95fdbacked Yes2c1,600$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.64233.3%14 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ae…2f79backed Yes1c1,600$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ee…8c8fbacked Yes4c1,600$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b1…01e5backed Yes1c1,577$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8932…eb14backed Yes3c1,500$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6740%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd264…e811backed Yes3c1,471$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-83.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4604…56f1backed Yes1c1,415$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939c…ad45backed Yes2c1,400$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.573842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Yes1c1,394$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1654541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes2c1,349$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1970%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c10…a305backed Yes3c1,321$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9249…d239backed Yes2c1,316$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2c…88e0backed Yes2c1,313$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes3c1,081$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Yes3c1,023$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes2c1,002$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.13742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Yes2c999.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed Yes2c964.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.63850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes2c953.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x590a…c459backed Yes2c938.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yes3c919.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-77.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc709…3eeebacked Yes3c919.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7750%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c892.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x027c…b158backed Yes1c865.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes4c849.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Yes2c826.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.39633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes2c806.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.791414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick5cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes1c800$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb1…cdd9backed Yes1c799.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes3c799.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.578231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Yes2c798.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513444%59 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Yes2c728.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.122133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes3c652.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.712548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc162…40bbbacked Yes3c625.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bb…2641backed Yes2c623.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-71.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes3c621.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee36…bebebacked Yes2c619.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-76.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8cd…e77cbacked Yes2c605.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154035%14 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Yes2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.952626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedfe…d367backed Yes3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Yes3c481.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.