TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72a9…44d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
388
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT28455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 284 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.9
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$29.07
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.67
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.84
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.51
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.13
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$51.41
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.85
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.03
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$29.29
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$31
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$118.88
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.95
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$42.3
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$97.48
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Showing 25 of 284 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.33
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.07
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.33
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$11
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.56
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.99
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.58
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.54
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$28.94
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.94
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.91
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+197.6%+$21.74
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.77
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$49
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.37
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$22.37
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.38
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.91
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.81
LoL: EKO Esports vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked EKO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.