MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9054e90a6069cc2ce67306c613df0446013cb3825fd2696abaa7e98b6b55f726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,816,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,837,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,816,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 565 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 605,694$291,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291,482.31 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 355,554$181,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,221.59 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 331,936$170,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,643.11 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 293,693$143,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,909.5 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 120,000$58,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,800 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 77,182$32,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,137.71 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 75,000$39,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,250 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,499.89 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 43,040$20,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,228.74 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 39,067$22,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,476.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 31,840$10,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,630.42 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 30,770$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 30,411$15,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,901.39 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 26,338$13,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,646.75 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 22,000$11,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 21,056$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 20,847$10,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,098.49 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 20,731$12,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,855.85 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 19,626$9,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,709.17 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 14c | 16,982$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…7ee6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 15,954$8,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,657.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 13,803$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,487.37 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 13,647$6,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,028.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 13,134$9,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 12,965$6,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,219.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 10,176$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.61 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.86 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 9,694$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 8,023$4,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.28 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 7,282$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.49 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 6,560$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 6,443$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.45 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 6,384$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 6,368$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.52 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…d98bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 6,366$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 4c | 5,848$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 5,660$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.4 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 5,100$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 5,001$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.48 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 5,001$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 4,588$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.12 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 4,400$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 4,340$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.38 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,303$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.41 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 4,038$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 3,910$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.66 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres | 1c | 3,753$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,720$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.56 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 3,697$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.49 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 3,688$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 3,232$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.68 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 3,217$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.96 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 3,169$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.12 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 3,160$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 3,148$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 3,086$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.42 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.97 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 2,810$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.45 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 2,630$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.55 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,578$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.02 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 2,376$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.17 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,250$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,200$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.92 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 2,049$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.04 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,043$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.87 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 1,966$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.06 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 1,930$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,921$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.65 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,919$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.22 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…99f9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…92adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,872$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.03 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 1,835$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,809$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.77 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,739$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.39 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,626$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.92 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,422$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.36 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,403$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.38 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,351$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.66 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,312$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.53 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,218$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.84 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 3.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.