TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xefdd…017f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
225
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7755.8%43 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$234.86
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18,042Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17,334.52
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26,315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19,055.85
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,034Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$8,952.65
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,359.25
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18,526Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13,415.66
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,227.3
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$796.64
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,920
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,531.22
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,304.79
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,601Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$6,574.78
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26,424Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21,619.44
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,923.98
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23,256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25,193.85
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,041.19
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$866.93
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,919.31
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18,638Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21,878.94
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,398.99
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21,491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22,368.37
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,788Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$3,664.76
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$8,882.74
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.88
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,120.35
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Dennis Buzukja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,641.6
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25,410Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$35,212.62
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25,531Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$24,160.81
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,397.44
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59,966.35
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mauricio Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$398
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,138.72
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,943.28
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Farés Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,431.16
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Santiago Luna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.87
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,466.03
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jose Henrique · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,337.17
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$4,671.54
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,078.68
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Christian Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.69
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$4,268.62
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,754Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,049.78
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,962.11
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Cody Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25,430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$38,370.86
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,498Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,332.2
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31,846Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$37,947.2
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,544
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$5,541.27
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jim Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$14,399.99
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,538.64
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,010.87
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18,581Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11,388.58
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,095.06
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,729.58
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,078.69
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23,416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$28,035.65
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25,510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$43,435.73
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wangbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$765.64
Roland Garros WTA: Simona Waltert vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,798Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,797.77
Roland Garros WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Mayar Sherifbacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,758.7
Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.73
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,319.38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$608.03
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19,270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25,543.38
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19,430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9,570
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,973Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,927
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,010Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,881.63
Madrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,666.95
Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,763Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,762.71
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.92
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,591.15
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10,757Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13,147.09
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,786.13
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$6,436.46
Credit One Charleston Open: Maria Sakkari vs Paula Badosabacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.13
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,898.89
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,783.38
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$209,249.76
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450.66
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,377.76
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30,139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33,986.74
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,388.85
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,968.17
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$164,083.86
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59,941.46
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,192.55
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.06
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,602Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$4,381.74
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.4
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,871.36
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,306.6
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$82,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82,424.39
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,020.55
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,284.09
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95,416.9
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61,758.55
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76,414Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$55,333.94
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$174,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$181,158.31
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechiabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$14.12
World Championships: Czechia vs. Canadabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.41
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,472.25
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,979Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$4,468.29
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13,026Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10,657.48
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,760.43
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19,199.97
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,692.49
Red Wings vs. Flyersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$15,500
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,454.2
Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,906.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15,210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23,790
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$25,015.83
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22,368Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21,490.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18,860
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$11,759.97
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$914.37
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,484Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,874.04
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14,399.96
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,992.98
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,004.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,191.99
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,419.78
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,680.45
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14,934Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15,543.53
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17,490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15,510
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,717.5
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,078Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,878.7
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,739.78
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,054.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+74.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$32,480
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,950.72
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,934Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$9,313.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$6,640.13
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10,331.92
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,065.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,424Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10,209.13
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,633Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$8,632.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$148,999.92
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,815Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,815.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,691Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10,086.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$112.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,289.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.