WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38a955dbe9ca57d9fdad2412e4c0460e6859874030bd79482c7ed914ec18d469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 20,664$10,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,331.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 18,738$9,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,369 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 15,066$7,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,381.57 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 13,504$6,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,616.8 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 5,754$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.81 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 5,007$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.44 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 4,074$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 1,921$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 1,816$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.8 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 1,812$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 656.65$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.33 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 597.54$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.82 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 566.56$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 529.75$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 255$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 201.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 195.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 185.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 131.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 131.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 111.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 105$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Connecticut Sun | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 78.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 67.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 66.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 58.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 55.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 38.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…c788backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 28.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…9f01backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 25.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 21.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 13.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut SunLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-15.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.