TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x58f1…7032

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
450
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT29550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 295 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$340
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+84%+$48.8
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$129.99
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Showing 25 of 295 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.83
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.55
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.66
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.9
Game Handicap: VIT.B (-1.5) vs ZYB Esport (+1.5)backed ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.49
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$29.2
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.68
Game Handicap: TOG (-1.5) vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (+1.5)backed Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.56
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.95
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.29
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.32
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.9
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$53.34
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$134.75
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.66
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.38
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2544%11 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.51
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26.68
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Krakenbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Penguins vs. Flamesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$9.25
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.03
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked Vexa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.34
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.01
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.31
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.79
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.99
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.89
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+36%+$3.78
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.1
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elvina Kalieva vs Kristina Mladenovicbacked Kristina Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Winston-Salem Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$88.63
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Dan Addedbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US Open, Qualification ATP: Zdenek Kolar vs Borna Gojobacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philadelphia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Kylie Collinsbacked Kylie Collins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$202.27
US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US Open, Qualification ATP: Clement Chidekh vs Federico Coriabacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US Open, Qualification WTA: Jordyn Hazelitt vs Harriet Dartbacked Jordyn Hazelitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Augsburg: Henri Haupt vs Svyatoslav Gulinbacked Henri Haupt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.33
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Polona Hercogbacked Polona Hercog · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+57.7%+$36.6
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+571.1%+$59.57
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+84.5%+$45.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+52.4%+$10.32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+34.4%+$5.12
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+59.9%+$37.45
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.64
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+52.5%+$18.38
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$63.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.