Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30faa5d47dc7fa114bc54d39c28eb6eb5063fa557e0fa559dbb3776f6d0e318d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $782,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $920,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 40,901$24,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,669.67 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 34,075$20,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,975.48 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 21,793$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,367.68 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Rune Eaters | 27c | 18,617$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,639.78 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 18,071$7,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,273.48 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 17,532$11,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,746.44 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 17,223$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,597.72 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 16,584$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,864.51 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 16,004$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 15,150$10,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,302 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 12,628$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,346.6 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 11,624$5,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,159.84 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 10,107$5,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.2 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 10,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,319.97 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 7,114$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 6,958$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122.97 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 6,888$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.22 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 6,731$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.64 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 6,612$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.75 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 6,510$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,609.22 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 6,349$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.27 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 6,280$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.19 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 6,100$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.95 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 6,024$4,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.09 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 6,000$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.99 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 5,882$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.09 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 5,755$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.85 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 5,338$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.44 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 5,221$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.67 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Rune Eaters | 27c | 5,006$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.05 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 4,292$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.23 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 4,244$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.92 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 4,207$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.51 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 4,141$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.54 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 4,108$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.03 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 3,949$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.28 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 3,847$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.01 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 3,630$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.63 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 3,476$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.35 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 3,270$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.95 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 3,174$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.97 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 3,156$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 3,150$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.47 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 3,099$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.23 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Virtus.pro | 1c | 3,006$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Rune Eaters | 79c | 2,995$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.18 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 2,957$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.76 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 2,883$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.4 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 2,872$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.8 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 2,517$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.39 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 2,439$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.96 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 2,435$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.54 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 2,359$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.58 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 2,347$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.39 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 2,265$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 2,165$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.55 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 2,070$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.92 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 2,055$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.11 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 1,931$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.57 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 1,929$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.7 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 1,864$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.22 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 1,843$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.43 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 1,834$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.41 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 1,807$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.37 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 1,806$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.14 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 1,795$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.65 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 1,788$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.56 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,776$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,754$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.19 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,667$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 1,650$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.36 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,601$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.3 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 1,583$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.24 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 1,536$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.83 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 1,536$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.13 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 1,517$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.86 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Rune Eaters | 74c | 1,500$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,500$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 1,485$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 1,430$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.67 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 1,338$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.81 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,336$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.08 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 1,335$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.95 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 1,310$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.72 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,293$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.07 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 1,292$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 1,240$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,235$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.28 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 1,231$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.74 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Rune Eaters | 14c | 1,226$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.67 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 1,210$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.34 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 1,208$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Rune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.