Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d768b7db8807e5d2da34fe25a98d4af242bb57a4643fa37eb75dd794ed16d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $688,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $807,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $688,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 121,890$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 72,544$25,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,169.81 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Virtus.pro | 0c | 44,815$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 20,927$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,727.57 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 17,853$7,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,078.28 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 16,421$6,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,016.81 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 16,381$6,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,227.78 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 14,254$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,397.16 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 12,709$7,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,498.45 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 10,950$7,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,225.49 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 9,438$5,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,938.33 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 8,407$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.26 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 8,397$4,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.24 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 8,389$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.74 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.97 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 6,991$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.55 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 6,613$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.12 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 6,500$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.99 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 6,428$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.48 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 5,562$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.57 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 5,001$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.56 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 4,619$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 4,264$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.57 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 4,022$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.59 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 3,868$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.27 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 3,604$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.28 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 3,490$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.99 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 3,487$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.66 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 3,452$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.65 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 3,376$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.13 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 3,272$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.74 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 3,255$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.74 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 3,087$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.79 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 2,880$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.06 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 2,876$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.51 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 2,810$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.82 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 2,810$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.58 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 2,744$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 2,656$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.06 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 2,592$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.23 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 2,577$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.64 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 2,545$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.85 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 2,500$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.98 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 2,444$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.14 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 2,250$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 2,219$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 2,218$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.28 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 2,185$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.56 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.99 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.98 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 1,994$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.59 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,990$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.84 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,950$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.06 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 1,939$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.03 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 1,911$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 1,900$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.97 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 1,883$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.22 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 2c | 1,850$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,820$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.08 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,777$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.03 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,752$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 1,715$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.78 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 1,689$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.61 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 1,615$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.58 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,595$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 1,564$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.97 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 1,500$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.5 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.99 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,490$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.3 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 1,465$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.2 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,461$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…e371backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 1,427$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.23 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 1,414$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.35 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 1,358$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.89 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,347$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.62 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 1,312$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.32 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Rune Eaters | 15c | 1,299$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.15 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,270$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.4 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,262$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.08 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,240$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.68 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,234$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.08 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 1,230$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.25 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,228$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.78 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.16 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,166$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.32 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.99 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 1,067$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.11 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.61 | 207 | 27.5%57 W · 150 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,050$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 1,047$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.1 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Rune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.