TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed7d…5852

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
281
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst WNBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+343.3%+$720.88
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+189.4%+$132.56
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$52.09
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.93
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$100.73
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+224.1%+$67.24
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.4
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$24.03
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$401.7
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$41.61
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$174.81
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT5637.5%21 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+189.8%+$55.89
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+788.5%+$315.39
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.11
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazzbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizardsbacked Washington Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$537.99
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$50.38
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$58.54
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+346.6%+$610
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+439.2%+$307.43
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+198.2%+$259.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.9
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.38
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5558.2%32 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Brisbane: Matt Hulme vs Joshua Charltonbacked Joshua Charlton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Peter Makk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
ITF Brisbane: Lily Fairclough vs Jasmine Adamsbacked Lily Fairclough · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
ITF Brisbane: Moerani Bouzige vs Matt Hulmebacked Matt Hulme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajdabacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Croatia Open: Titouan Droguet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$71.51
Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$67.89
Iasi Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Simona Waltertbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$61.73
Swedish Open: Max Dahlin vs Sebastian Baezbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Viktoriya Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.46
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Bunschoten: Tomas Barrios vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Swedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Danielbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$20.42
Kitzbuehel: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Anna-Lena Friedsambacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Dalma Galfibacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$33.47
Cordenons: Georgii Kravchenko vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Bunschoten: Daniel Galan vs Abel Forgerbacked Abel Forger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Iasi Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$46.95
Rome: Julia Riera vs Darja Semenistajabacked Julia Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$11.82
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.4%+$5.87
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+215.4%+$86.17
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$258
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+222.6%+$133.55
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+195.6%+$39.12
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Seahawks (-14.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$140
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+551.3%+$220.5
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+186.2%+$148.96
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.94
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$278.67
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.71
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$71.97
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+128.6%+$752.38
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.22
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+109.8%+$117.33
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.6%+$11.66
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$74.47
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+158%+$371.81
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$60.65
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$34.99
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$26.84
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+73%+$73.01
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.9%+$19.13
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+99%+$45.55
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.33
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.77
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$50.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs ENJOY (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Bbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.27
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+263.1%+$141.24
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$24.51
Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+159.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sunbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MŠK Žilina win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$13.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hofstra Pride vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.