TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof Nigma Galaxy, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$419,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$411,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Nigma Galaxy33c81,688$27,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,072.719733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked BetBoom Team68c36,684$24,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,738.7613960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Nigma Galaxy32c20,612$6,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,595.9542650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Nigma Galaxy31c16,245$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,955.77152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Nigma Galaxy32c15,625$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00023435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed BetBoom Team66c15,520$10,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,246.9112259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c23…d48fbacked BetBoom Team68c12,800$8,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed BetBoom Team72c11,400$8,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1922766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3bbb…0ee6backed BetBoom Team68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed BetBoom Team68c8,427$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.664850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked BetBoom Team68c8,088$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.2429160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Nigma Galaxy32c7,813$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Nigma Galaxy32c6,813$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1807341.1%30 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Nigma Galaxy32c6,284$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.048536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Nigma Galaxy29c6,100$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7562138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed BetBoom Team70c6,049$4,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.8612159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked Nigma Galaxy12c6,033$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.971346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy31c5,952$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.551,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy29c5,524$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.051,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed BetBoom Team68c4,961$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.5427645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed Nigma Galaxy33c4,603$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.9718351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy26c4,553$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.031,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy28c4,271$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.671,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Nigma Galaxy34c4,016$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.5632951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4b…5345backed BetBoom Team68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.991258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked BetBoom Team69c3,443$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.334763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf2…6209backed BetBoom Team68c3,200$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0242100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Nigma Galaxy30c3,150$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9452050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Nigma Galaxy32c3,150$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.996653%35 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4c…6d64backed BetBoom Team69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.555147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b6…7d7cbacked BetBoom Team78c2,898$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.261040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Nigma Galaxy32c2,616$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.0529143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Nigma Galaxy29c2,545$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.19340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed BetBoom Team73c2,333$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.2337745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy30c2,250$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy11c2,041$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.541,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Nigma Galaxy13c2,032$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.5437811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy31c2,019$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.0743049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed BetBoom Team67c2,000$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.6734860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Nigma Galaxy31c1,923$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.8910036%36 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Nigma Galaxy33c1,812$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.7116139.8%64 W · 97 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed BetBoom Team68c1,600$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5127263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy7c1,595$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.51,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy32c1,560$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.258744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed BetBoom Team66c1,521$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.671637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy30c1,500$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.564744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed BetBoom Team68c1,479$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.6946451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked BetBoom Team68c1,393$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.39052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked BetBoom Team72c1,382$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.413548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b8…36ddbacked BetBoom Team68c1,338$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.24785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed BetBoom Team69c1,298$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.3234051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb05…accbbacked Nigma Galaxy31c1,297$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ce…9378backed BetBoom Team65c1,291$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+65.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7854…52f4backed BetBoom Team77c1,239$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.413751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed Nigma Galaxy32c1,238$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0740%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Nigma Galaxy33c1,199$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed BetBoom Team69c1,187$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.1129243.2%126 W · 166 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed BetBoom Team69c1,174$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.999954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nigma Galaxy31c1,167$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.4838142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked BetBoom Team69c1,166$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.8135461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked BetBoom Team66c1,165$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.0659254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy30c1,151$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.421,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Nigma Galaxy9c1,120$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked BetBoom Team66c1,105$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7927060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Nigma Galaxy33c1,067$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4661449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nigma Galaxy11c1,063$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0793546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Nigma Galaxy12c1,048$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7618830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Nigma Galaxy30c1,014$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5510643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed BetBoom Team68c1,006$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.048456%47 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14cc…8a82backed Nigma Galaxy32c1,003$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked BetBoom Team68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32026846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Nigma Galaxy31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ba…b673backed Nigma Galaxy32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked BetBoom Team71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29044149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Nigma Galaxy13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13029352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed BetBoom Team68c999.98$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9921353.5%114 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked BetBoom Team69c957$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.675250%26 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Nigma Galaxy13c938.93$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7737018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Nigma Galaxy32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020542.9%88 W · 117 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed Nigma Galaxy11c930.58$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5315854.4%86 W · 72 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Nigma Galaxy10c929.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.917023.5%40 W · 130 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c87…516bbacked BetBoom Team65c923.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0815961%97 W · 62 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabac…879cbacked Nigma Galaxy33c900$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2991060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy15c900$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13770052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed BetBoom Team77c896.8$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.814763.3%93 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Nigma Galaxy12c885.42$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4920738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Nigma Galaxy32c832$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.696726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nigma Galaxy33c815.46$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.132548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed BetBoom Team75c803.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3316963.3%107 W · 62 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5784…e051backed Nigma Galaxy33c800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b11…de93backed Nigma Galaxy33c789$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team78c753.76$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.962,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed BetBoom Team68c733.08$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5922363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed BetBoom Team68c730.96$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9125956.8%147 W · 112 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Nigma Galaxy19c705.9$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5916232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Nigma Galaxy32c678.13$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21722340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Nigma Galaxy32c664.03$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4911947.1%56 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f90…a39fbacked Nigma Galaxy32c601.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5714563.4%92 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x110b…4228backed BetBoom Team68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy35c599.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21080544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.