TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x28ba…b673

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT9028.9%26 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$149
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.4
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+167.2%+$438
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.14
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$848
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$446
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+176.7%+$2,234.98
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.99
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.99
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$329.99
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$216
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$390
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,126.88
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+584.9%+$17,079.98
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,309.84
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+124%+$9,409.77
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,246.18
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,902.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.76
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$1,280
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,056Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$2,043.74
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,651Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$848.99
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$2,374.95
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$414
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$4,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,099.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Darwin Blanchbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$47.15
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$61.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,966.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.