NBA · resolved market

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde72dd287ba34b31dc69066931b7c0074f8267132bf7d6752e2f736429ae98af

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,830,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,696,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,830,713 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	24c	219,534$53,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,671.32	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes	9c	135,353$12,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123,080.87	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes	13c	119,943$15,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104,431.95	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa476…d15abacked Yes	0c	116,298$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116,065.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+1.00per pick	0cpaid	+49,900%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	11c	116,069$12,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103,218.59	145	33.1%48 W · 97 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1751…febdbacked No	0c	100,965$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Yes	16c	65,758$10,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,292.4	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5d…f4a2backed Yes	15c	65,442$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,441.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	14cpaid	+227.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes	39c	64,716$25,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,693.82	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	8cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	2c	57,570$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,490.5	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	23c	57,316$13,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,020.49	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	73c	48,325$35,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,448.94	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc26…15f9backed Yes	10c	43,063$4,521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,542.77	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+138.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28ba…b673backed No	0c	42,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	64c	41,798$26,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,218.96	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x531b…32b6backed Yes	12c	38,267$4,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,708.48	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes	54c	37,098$20,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,084.4	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	13c	34,717$4,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,153.54	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes	10c	34,461$3,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,913	96	49%47 W · 49 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes	14c	33,719$4,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,919.98	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed No	0c	31,656$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.31	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	2c	28,965$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.73	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	80c	28,865$22,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,954.39	250	45.6%114 W · 136 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes	12c	28,196$3,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,830.84	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	25,060$1,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,850.42	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No	36c	25,004$8,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,995.17	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed No	0c	25,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No	65c	24,115$15,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,657.84	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes	10c	21,916$2,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,819.77	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	61c	21,409$13,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,386.25	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	20,585$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,519.69	84	4.8%4 W · 80 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+489.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	60c	20,279$12,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,130.72	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2187…3afcbacked Yes	12c	19,862$2,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,488.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.88per pick	12cpaid	+736.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	60c	19,284$11,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,512.84	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No	0c	18,495$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.48	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	77c	17,938$13,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,812.73	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d1…e748backed Yes	14c	17,483$2,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,084.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.86per pick	14cpaid	+628.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Yes	16c	16,674$2,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,062.7	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b0b…c3dfbacked No	0c	16,310$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Yes	18c	13,825$2,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,386.15	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes	10c	13,816$1,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,431.68	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-73%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb64f…dc88backed Yes	17c	13,601$2,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,310.62	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.83per pick	17cpaid	+493.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes	19c	12,303$2,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,023.26	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed No	79c	12,086$9,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,581.08	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked No	0c	11,667$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2da…f8d4backed Yes	7c	11,374$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,585.02	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+167.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Yes	9c	11,011$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000.14	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Yes	12c	10,328$1,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,121.02	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ce…6c4abacked Yes	10c	10,318$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,295.73	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f7…9a17backed Yes	9c	10,243$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,352.53	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.34per pick	26cpaid	+222.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes	12c	10,000$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,824.98	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8639…edc7backed No	0c	9,996$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	10c	9,782$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,819.82	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	12c	9,496$1,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,380.31	137	47.4%65 W · 72 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes	12c	9,424$1,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,321.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+101.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes	10c	7,672$772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,899.88	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd133…ef27backed No	0c	7,368$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes	9c	7,139$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,510.93	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb17d…59aebacked No	14c	6,830$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes	10c	6,349$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,739.72	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes	9c	6,230$557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,673.06	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…b22dbacked Yes	19c	6,216$1,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,035.6	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+86.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd20…fbacbacked Yes	0c	5,522$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,508.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	2cpaid	+9,761.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes	16c	5,432$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,543.89	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	9c	5,399$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,909.78	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+49%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes	9c	5,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,530	139	54.7%76 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1713…1986backed Yes	20c	4,985$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,985.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+66.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	11c	4,592$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,079.9	205	36.6%75 W · 130 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd6…b33cbacked Yes	12c	4,521$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,980.53	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+318.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes	0c	4,462$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,450.53	412	27.4%113 W · 299 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5207…686bbacked Yes	8c	4,316$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,979.35	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.39per pick	36cpaid	+306.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	8c	4,288$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,938.88	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.49per pick	31cpaid	+287.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	7c	4,220$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,927.43	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	4cpaid	+106.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No	80c	4,062$3,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,240.42	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes	15c	4,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,400	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a7b8backed Yes	15c	3,884$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,294.13	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	42cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes	11c	3,818$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,380.29	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f8…dd6abacked Yes	2c	3,486$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,412.91	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	+174.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…9722backed Yes	6c	3,400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,204.25	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.40per pick	40cpaid	+347.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa533…8448backed Yes	11c	3,333$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,961.62	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	6cpaid	+199.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes	13c	3,297$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,884.05	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+72.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed Yes	7c	3,042$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,826.65	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+88.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64f1…3268backed Yes	17c	3,030$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,520.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.83per pick	17cpaid	+494.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes	9c	3,000$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,734.17	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f5…6b06backed Yes	15c	2,993$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,536.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.85per pick	15cpaid	+555.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27da…d24abacked Yes	15c	2,948$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,509.72	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.36per pick	24cpaid	+141%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88a6…1c14backed Yes	13c	2,876$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,490.18	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+148.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01f5…a523backed No	0c	2,833$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	11c	2,759$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,455.59	150	10%15 W · 135 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Yes	10c	2,703$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,424.21	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.8wins	+0.35per pick	47cpaid	+126.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b9f…47c2backed No	0c	2,668$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa3…ca65backed No	1c	2,547$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Yes	8c	2,476$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,276.39	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d31…f3c1backed Yes	1c	2,393$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,373.33	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+1,638.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x820b…30f5backed Yes	11c	2,376$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,114.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+355.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2009…903ebacked Yes	12c	2,364$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,075.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.88per pick	12cpaid	+720.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes	14c	2,341$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,021.31	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b9…03b8backed No	1c	2,292$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+301.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	13c	2,204$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,924.44	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4430…541fbacked Yes	13c	2,184$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,902.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.87per pick	13cpaid	+675.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event