NBA · resolved market
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9a9de00128a2af7b6be98d11cab36a3e519b2683f26886e258fd950b3bc269e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,713,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,713,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4682…4d40backed Yes | 0c | 135,041$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +654.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 127,999$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.97 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 112,371$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.59 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 77,210$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes | 0c | 66,989$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 62,609$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x181f…ed9dbacked Yes | 0c | 58,488$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 0c | 52,393$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…c331backed Yes | 0c | 48,225$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 0c | 44,048$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.61 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Yes | 0c | 42,964$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…5cc7backed Yes | 0c | 41,883$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…0bd5backed Yes | 1c | 35,907$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…b0c8backed Yes | 0c | 33,024$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…b4e2backed Yes | 0c | 27,600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…b5c3backed Yes | 0c | 27,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 1c | 24,183$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…bd35backed Yes | 0c | 23,704$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Yes | 0c | 22,200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…7011backed Yes | 0c | 19,148$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc381…5eb0backed Yes | 1c | 17,873$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Yes | 1c | 16,887$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed Yes | 0c | 16,515$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…87f3backed Yes | 0c | 16,509$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 2c | 14,602$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 0c | 14,246$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 13,618$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 0c | 12,144$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 1cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…643fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,771$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…745abacked Yes | 1c | 11,620$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 0c | 10,910$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…e4bebacked Yes | 1c | 10,061$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes | 1c | 9,361$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,059$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 0c | 8,370$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,231$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…5ecdbacked Yes | 0c | 7,875$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c1…9daabacked Yes | 1c | 7,778$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,693$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc74…6c0fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,703$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 0c | 6,632$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…5602backed Yes | 1c | 6,207$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,772$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,531$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…8497backed Yes | 0c | 5,392$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077e…1fb0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…ddcabacked Yes | 1c | 4,978$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…07cdbacked Yes | 0c | 4,459$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 1c | 4,380$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…c23cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8f…f96abacked Yes | 1c | 3,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,621$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed Yes | 2c | 3,572$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…270dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,390$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…5f94backed Yes | 0c | 3,323$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…1377backed Yes | 0c | 3,027$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76eb…0e4dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,711$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 1c | 2,700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 2,681$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 0c | 2,514$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…736abacked Yes | 1c | 1,650$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…13bdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,626$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…19efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,554$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…5dd3backed Yes | 3c | 658.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f3…16b3backed Yes | 36c | 335.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 64c | 238.72$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?this page
- Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes won
- Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.