NBA · resolved market

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf12bd1a9ec448b428e5879f180b9b05d17cdf6a6af3c20d8a4b7327ca6bfd37

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,543,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,629,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,543,497 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes	2c	391,145$9,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,159.62	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Yes	34c	355,382$120,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120,769.65	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	77c	174,894$133,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,920.38	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	22c	153,712$34,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,455.57	145	33.1%48 W · 97 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No	67c	133,442$89,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,796.81	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Yes	14c	132,400$18,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,686.78	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.34per pick	45cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	22c	128,482$27,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,826.11	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes	16c	117,998$18,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,908.34	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	8cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes	27c	114,006$30,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,703.7	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbab…cad4backed Yes	20c	103,405$20,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,886.89	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	27cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes	36c	92,728$33,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,001.29	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1751…febdbacked Yes	0c	91,042$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed No	63c	89,019$56,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,784.51	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+73.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	15c	69,898$10,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,227.05	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes	18c	61,680$10,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,962.71	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes	28c	56,377$15,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,898.79	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	52,000$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	13c	50,362$6,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,509.83	227	50.2%114 W · 113 L	+24.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Yes	22c	49,493$10,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,734.63	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes	16c	46,660$7,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,356.52	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d2…0b90backed Yes	14c	42,788$6,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,017.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	76c	36,879$27,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,008.7	250	45.6%114 W · 136 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes	16c	34,416$5,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,590.03	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7444…ee2ebacked Yes	34c	27,255$9,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,249.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	26,479$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.87	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes	20c	26,385$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200.49	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No	74c	26,352$19,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,781.72	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes	24c	25,435$6,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,092.52	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d64…2c11backed Yes	13c	20,845$2,649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,649	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e1f…c855backed Yes	18c	20,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,599.99	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes	21c	19,101$4,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,074.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes	25c	18,963$4,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,657.72	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c11…c7e6backed Yes	36c	17,943$6,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,404.99	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes	13c	17,706$2,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,329.14	96	49%47 W · 49 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa05c…0ecdbacked Yes	34c	17,043$5,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,775.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	14c	16,521$2,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,385.49	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c21…c583backed Yes	11c	16,354$1,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,730.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b5…85c5backed Yes	15c	15,759$2,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Yes	31c	15,000$4,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,644.99	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No	59c	14,507$8,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,884.75	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3906…7556backed Yes	33c	13,918$4,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,610.24	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed No	62c	12,277$7,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,617.15	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes	12c	12,068$1,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,466.67	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked No	71c	11,691$8,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,439.36	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+56%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c83…25d4backed Yes	18c	11,681$2,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,126.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc26…15f9backed Yes	13c	11,483$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+138.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x381d…fedebacked Yes	15c	11,457$1,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,705.6	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	77c	11,392$8,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,622.77	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Yes	24c	11,297$2,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,661.25	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea7…bcd9backed No	77c	10,785$8,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,440.49	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4759…dc6ebacked No	78c	10,625$8,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,298.3	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…c32ebacked Yes	24c	10,553$2,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,537.42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+111.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c1…4ebbbacked Yes	20c	10,348$2,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,072.07	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	+90.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	80c	10,324$8,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,111.26	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes	16c	10,247$1,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,677.45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+79.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	15c	10,196$1,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,547.27	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No	64c	10,052$6,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,641.18	342	55.6%190 W · 152 L	+28.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes	18c	10,000$1,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,830	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes	19c	9,995$1,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,878.98	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Yes	13c	9,715$1,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,306.87	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	28cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed No	53c	9,636$5,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,530.4	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes	19c	9,553$1,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,841.98	258	45%116 W · 142 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	25c	9,500$2,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,375.98	152	19.1%29 W · 123 L	-10.1wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed No	68c	9,465$6,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,994.22	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes	17c	9,243$1,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,549	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4867…a6f8backed No	73c	9,236$6,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,501.85	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde24…ed26backed Yes	32c	9,206$2,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,980.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb0…bd65backed No	73c	9,006$6,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,403.46	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	64cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb143…3c17backed Yes	14c	8,742$1,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,265.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbafd…2964backed Yes	19c	8,276$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed No	80c	8,260$6,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,660.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	76c	7,992$6,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,933.38	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	32c	7,885$2,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520.92	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes	25c	7,649$1,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,924.21	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes	19c	7,495$1,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,415.52	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bb7…6e92backed Yes	67c	7,341$4,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,951.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No	74c	7,080$5,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,855.84	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	63cpaid	+37%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae7c…487ebacked Yes	14c	7,065$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	20c	6,890$1,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,388.33	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+115.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No	77c	6,869$5,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,591	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Yes	26c	6,816$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,740.34	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	15c	6,795$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.15	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Yes	44c	6,768$2,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,951.3	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Yes	10c	6,680$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.2	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.39per pick	41cpaid	+71.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes	30c	6,648$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes	6c	6,482$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.82	412	27.4%113 W · 299 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	12c	6,452$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.33	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	74c	6,389$4,703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,686.02	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes	11c	6,365$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.14	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Yes	50c	6,041$3,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,017.6	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeae8…7f85backed Yes	18c	5,989$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes	12c	5,900$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.88	180	31.7%57 W · 123 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	80c	5,705$4,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.89	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No	69c	5,634$3,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,762.46	205	36.6%75 W · 130 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	22c	5,573$1,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,252.34	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6404…f250backed Yes	30c	5,470$1,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa821…0bc8backed No	75c	5,463$4,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.16	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No	43c	5,343$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,042.4	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8494…f290backed Yes	19c	5,283$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Yes	34c	5,233$1,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,804.26	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event