TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcbb0…bd65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,510.61
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.36
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$122.58
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,748Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$1,319.92
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$221.65
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.1%+$194.06
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.06
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.87
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.01
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+121%+$123.07
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+271.1%+$330.46
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$89.4
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,586Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$3,997.65
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$11.33
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$43.85
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$862.05
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$10.82
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will France win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+54%+$46.83
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.8
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.26
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$1,201
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$83.34
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.71
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$646.07
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.46
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$21.81
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$42.5
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.67
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$91.48
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.34
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$35.84
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+32%+$3.91
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.18
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$81.53
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+467.2%+$102.96
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.18
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$74.48
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+52%+$66.94
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.17
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.28
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$51.7
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.14
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$36.76
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.27
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.46
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.23
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.64
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,535Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$384.86
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$32.17
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$24.4
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.58
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.72
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.31
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$36.13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.46
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.51
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.29
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.54
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,602Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$2,403.46
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,663Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+77%+$3,588.03
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,314.71
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,597Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$1,519.58
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,235.61
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.15
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$70.58
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$198.14
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$28.23
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$62.89
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$10.3
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.23
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$8.04
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+46%+$284.6
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.52
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$57.04
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+260.2%+$58.1
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.8
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$63.16
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$156.6
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.7
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.22
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$59.34
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$40.75
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.45
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$25.94
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$74.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$16.41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.36
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.95
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+201.4%+$118.12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$17.01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+71%+$26.2
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$16.2
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$108.12
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.51
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.74
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$153.2
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$45.15
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56%+$39.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$14.92
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+87%+$49.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$38.9
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$228.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.