Dota2 · resolved market

Aurora to win 2-0?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e6fe520628d032992e7fc469a6323c5f80f28c320c4604880b101847eaddc56

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,210 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No	58c	9,502$5,506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,995.98	179	48.6%87 W · 92 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Yes	43c	2,919$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	224	50%112 W · 112 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Yes	41c	2,431$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked No	52c	1,676$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.81	174	44.8%78 W · 96 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked No	38c	1,594$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.1	358	50.6%181 W · 177 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	58c	1,380$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.12	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes	63c	1,221$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.09	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+134.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Yes	43c	1,171$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Yes	43c	1,105$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.98	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	-13.8wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Yes	43c	1,100$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473	77	28.6%22 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	61c	905.02$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.16	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Yes	40c	625$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No	54c	600$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	117	33.3%39 W · 78 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Yes	40c	548.25$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.3	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed No	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	805	44.6%359 W · 446 L	-25.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Yes	43c	500$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Yes	48c	480.72$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.8	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	61c	438$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.51	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked No	50c	402.67$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.34	858	51.3%440 W · 418 L	+30.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed No	30c	386.61$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.55	385	47.5%183 W · 202 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Yes	60c	369.89$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.45	475	48%228 W · 247 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed No	55c	366.11$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.75	647	44.4%287 W · 360 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yes	43c	347.01$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.22	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No	59c	336.74$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.27	106	43.4%46 W · 60 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked No	51c	322.22$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.9	255	49%125 W · 130 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Yes	63c	300$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-31%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca13…8b9ebacked No	53c	272.22$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.94	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	48c	267.17$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.92	713	42.5%303 W · 410 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Yes	72c	255$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.6	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked Yes	44c	232$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.08	210	43.8%92 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No	52c	224.27$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.65	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Yes	39c	210.71$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.18	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd166…e432backed Yes	43c	209.3$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes	48c	202.23$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.07	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Yes	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.95	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d03…d1fdbacked Yes	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No	52c	199.99$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.68	421	46.6%196 W · 225 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes	43c	199.85$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.93	675	55%371 W · 304 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed No	56c	177.12$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.12	577	35%202 W · 375 L	-14.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Yes	39c	173.8$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.78	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2363…ed78backed Yes	58c	172.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	50c	172.35$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.65	935	46.4%434 W · 501 L	-15.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Yes	39c	168.94$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.89	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No	36c	164.02$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.91	251	43.4%109 W · 142 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed No	47c	151.43$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.07	813	45.1%367 W · 446 L	-26.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed No	56c	142.49$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.13	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15fe…74babacked Yes	71c	141.13$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	68.6%24 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5b…62c7backed Yes	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	71	66.2%47 W · 24 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed Yes	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	141	36.9%52 W · 89 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed No	56c	119.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.6	253	54.5%138 W · 115 L	+13.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7c…3332backed Yes	50c	115.13$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.26	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed No	53c	113.21$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.21	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes	21c	111.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.55	194	40.7%79 W · 115 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Yes	47c	106$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.82	669	47.1%315 W · 354 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No	61c	105.74$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.55	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d6c…116fbacked Yes	41c	105.38$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.73	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No	59c	104.98$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.54	334	45.2%151 W · 183 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6694…ea6fbacked No	59c	101$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.41	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eca…73aebacked No	61c	100.03$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4116…41a3backed Yes	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f1…668ebacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	42c	97.52$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.46	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Yes	72c	92.74$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.8	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes	43c	89.24$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	412	48.8%201 W · 211 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No	35c	88.97$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.58	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked No	56c	86.68$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.03	41	65.9%27 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked Yes	58c	86.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	338	54.1%183 W · 155 L	+11.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Yes	59c	85.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9d…de16backed Yes	59c	84.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	89	65.2%58 W · 31 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed No	61c	80.52$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.4	515	50.9%262 W · 253 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0074…0767backed No	56c	80$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.2	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes	46c	79.64$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.45	311	43.4%135 W · 176 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb0…bd65backed No	50c	75$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-44%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No	58c	74.85$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.67	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Yes	44c	73.67$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.41	226	44.7%101 W · 125 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked Yes	42c	72.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	124	56.5%70 W · 54 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcede…e6c9backed Yes	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	55	65.5%36 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Yes	45c	66.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2004…cb6fbacked Yes	62c	64.52$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e4c…c8c6backed Yes	45c	64.44$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	80	50%40 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…84cfbacked Yes	40c	62.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff77…b6b4backed Yes	47c	62.22$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked No	54c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce8a…189fbacked Yes	50c	59.51$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	43	79.1%34 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	70cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked Yes	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	288	46.9%135 W · 153 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed No	66c	55.17$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.52	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes	42c	54.49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	529	50.9%269 W · 260 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Yes	61c	52.46$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-5.6wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef0d…ef1cbacked Yes	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	40.5%92 W · 135 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Yes	29c	50.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9224…b43bbacked Yes	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	169	42.6%72 W · 97 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaed5…4a71backed Yes	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Yes	59c	49.91$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.49	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9740…9b3abacked Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Yes	41c	48.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes	42c	47.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	252	66.3%167 W · 85 L	+20.5wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ee…878ebacked Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…c849backed Yes	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes	42c	42.69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.93	311	26%81 W · 230 L	-17.5wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0326…370fbacked No	58c	42.69$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.93	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aurora to win 2-0?this page
Aurora vs Team Liquid: Draw (1-1)?Yes won
Team Liquid to win 2-0?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aurora to win 2-0?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event