TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32d6…a8f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
372
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: AI, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category AI at 59 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT11032.7%36 W · 74 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$43.43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$11.32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.3
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+270.2%+$81.26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.24
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+189.4%+$110.92
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44%+$48.77
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$39.05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.32
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$43.92
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.93
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.51
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT8851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.75
Will LGD Gaming Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.73
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+194.8%+$93.85
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$230.43
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.4
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.5
Virtus.pro to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$191.49
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.16
PARIVISION to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
Aurora to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.07
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$44.71
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Xtreme Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.27
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.4
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.07
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.32
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$136.5
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$143.01
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$32.54
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,769Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$492.71
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.34
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$54.89
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$129.94
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$72.26
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+704.3%+$96.94
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38%+$900.82
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,962Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$1,068.83
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.99
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5642.9%24 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+260.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.26
GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.21
GRVT FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.45
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
RipCars FDV above $1.5M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$84.46
Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+223.2%+$365.78
Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$649.61
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.98
Over $27.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.94
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.79
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425.74
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.51
Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
Over $18M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.07
Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.56
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$710.56
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.62
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.71
Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Over $16M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,636.63
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+900%+$450
Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$177.71
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.42
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$74.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$20.92
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.16
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.81
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+1,567.1%+$783.56
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.99
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick35cpaid+197.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+80%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+221.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+221.5%+$1,154.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$58.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.