Dota2 · resolved market
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742f6657487879322f2694e654bef94dae0768c323fc84c002cd63743c069f18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe341…354dbacked Yes | 18c | 3,461$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.32 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…d35bbacked Yes | 21c | 2,747$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.82 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 79c | 2,719$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…78a0backed No | 68c | 2,475$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 2,186$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.17 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Yes | 23c | 1,848$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.94 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…5305backed No | 69c | 1,802$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,710$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 63c | 1,107$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes | 30c | 988.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 66c | 855.64$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…e1e3backed Yes | 34c | 830.04$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.21 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…fe86backed Yes | 30c | 800$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…7834backed Yes | 35c | 791.09$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 745.21$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16b…3a57backed Yes | 15c | 652$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…327abacked Yes | 36c | 559.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked No | 68c | 527.52$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 495.1$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 64c | 461.03$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 19c | 459.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 401.49$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 31c | 401.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…3ff9backed Yes | 32c | 392.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked No | 78c | 377.08$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 80c | 346.22$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 320.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 313.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Yes | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Yes | 37c | 270.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 270$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed Yes | 32c | 268.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Yes | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Yes | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…da84backed Yes | 15c | 236.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 68c | 214.86$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed No | 70c | 214.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 65c | 210$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 209.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 208$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 31c | 194.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 25c | 189.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 26c | 183.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 174.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 72c | 159.22$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…570bbacked Yes | 34c | 155.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 80c | 140.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 137$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…29e9backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 38c | 122.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…0994backed Yes | 33c | 122.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Yes | 31c | 119.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Yes | 28c | 105.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ce…8b5bbacked Yes | 12c | 105.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 103.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…fa58backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 79c | 97.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yes | 31c | 97.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…072dbacked Yes | 31c | 95.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…57e0backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes | 20c | 74.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 71c | 70.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…15e0backed Yes | 32c | 68.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…2c17backed No | 69c | 67.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 67c | 60.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 63c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 36c | 51.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 67c | 50.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…f60ebacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…9e91backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…3998backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 34c | 49.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 67c | 47.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…3a55backed Yes | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 27c | 44.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 71c | 40.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Yes | 34c | 35.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentthis page
- Will 1W win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Aurora Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will BetBoom Team win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will GamerLegion win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will L1GA TEAM win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will LGD Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will MOUZ win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Nigma Galaxy win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will OG win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentYes won
- Will PlayTime win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Rune Eaters win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Team Falcons win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Team Liquid win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Team Spirit win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Vici Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Virtus.pro win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Xtreme Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.