TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b67…3998

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Earnings, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+185.7%+$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$770.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.