Earnings · resolved market
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x074d3842d1c349d2372f16f9f5169e062c3aaed5ab2e84914914235662247423
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 41c | 2,163$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.03 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 38c | 436.46$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 52c | 368.76$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.35 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 59c | 286.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Yes | 40c | 203.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 170 | 64.1%109 W · 61 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed Yes | 60c | 193.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 55c | 140.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 136.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 42c | 97.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes | 64c | 94.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 68c | 93.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked No | 44c | 89.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…4094backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…5af6backed Yes | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 55c | 78.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 40c | 72.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 51c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 51c | 66.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 473 | 38.5%182 W · 291 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 54c | 64.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…f333backed No | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…69d3backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…1b0dbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…4a9dbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…2b79backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…47a2backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…1479backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…e434backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…d394backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…90acbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…8490backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0e…3c0fbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…079bbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…6254backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…3998backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…0412backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…693bbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…a18ebacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…13e1backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…9feabacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…a4e6backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 59c | 46.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -9.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 49c | 46.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked No | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…0691backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 52c | 35.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 57c | 35.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…680bbacked No | 57c | 31.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 59c | 28.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -17.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…2aabbacked No | 57c | 20.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…d361backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.