TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x347b…c9bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
678
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT20173.1%147 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick74cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 201 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.58
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$64.64
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$7
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$7
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.35
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.05
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.7
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.74
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.05
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.45
Showing 25 of 201 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8933.7%30 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.89
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$46.7
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.89
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.55
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.1
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$434.99
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.14
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.52
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,558.26
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.58
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.04
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.12
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.26
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT5448.1%26 W · 28 L-8.5wins-0.16per pick64cpaid-36.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
World Politics — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dan Jarvis be in the Burnham cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Will Alan Campbell be in the Burnham cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will Iván Cepeda win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.03
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$5.1
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$10.25
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.87
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.25
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.5
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.25
Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Lorenzo Radice win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$13.89
Will Mario Almici win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT4920.4%10 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$85
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$47.33
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.62
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.49
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$13.75
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$13.53
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.98
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,870Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+948.2%+$17,730.12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,183.49
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.6
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,287.26
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$945.99
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,101.68
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.59
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT345.9%2 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.9
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.87
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+2,192.7%+$383.71
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.9
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.2
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.78
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40.2
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$47.1
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.68
Will David Corenswet be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.46
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.85
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT326.3%2 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-80.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will anyone say "Chat" 5+ times during Love Island E34?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get between 35 and 40 million views on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.34
Will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get between 40 and 45 million views on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will anyone say "Possible" or "Impossible" during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will anyone say "Queen" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E5 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Will anyone say "Marriage" during House of the Dragon E5 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.46
Will anyone say "Power" during House of the Dragon E5 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will anyone say "Rick" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will anyone say "Brain" during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will anyone say "Morty" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Will anyone say "Wine" during House of the Dragon E5 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.61
Will anyone say "Alien" during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.7
Will anyone say "Free" during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.27
Will anyone say "Hell" during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Will anyone say "Portal" during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
Will anyone say "Bone" during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Will anyone say "God" 5+ times during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Will anyone say "Clone" during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.45
Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E9 S9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Will anyone say "Raven" during House of the Dragon E5 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.46
Will anyone say "Diary" during Big Brother E2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+390.7%+$50.16
Will anyone say "Raven" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT290%0 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.92
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.8
Will Steve Kerr join the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Denver Nuggets in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Washington Wizards in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Chicago Bulls in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Utah Jazz in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join Team USA in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the University of Arizona in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Toronto Raptors in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the New York Knicks in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Orlando Magic in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Atlanta Hawks in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join someone else in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Charlotte Hornets in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Indiana Pacers in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Phoenix Suns in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the Brooklyn Nets in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Steve Kerr join the San Antonio Spurs in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$10.25
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$808.07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of June 29 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.71
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+554.5%+$1,822.23
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,474
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 30?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 30?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 23?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?backed Bitcoin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$23.66
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 55 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Kimberly Yee be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33%+$12.4
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$11.55
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$7.3
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$14.45
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.38
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$13.25
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$13.34
Will Jeff Pixley be the Democratic nominee for OK-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Rosie Pino be the Republican nominee for NJ-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$7.5
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$10.75
Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Sam Gallucci advance from the CA-26 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Dusty Johnson and Larry Rhoden advance to the South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.76
Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.97
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Michael McGuire be the Republican nominee for NJ-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Eric Conroy be the Republican nominee for OH-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+420.8%+$161.6
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Elon post "Soccer" on X this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Elon post "Always" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Elon post "Claude" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+95%+$24.36
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+149.3%+$29.94
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.89
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.34
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+640.7%+$86.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37.9%+$27.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$28.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$425.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$153.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$131
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+28%+$43.8
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$405
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31%+$118.39
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.65
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.44
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Solana reach $220 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-85.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $2.5M committed to the TownSquare public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$40.81
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22.56
Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.17
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.18
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$39.6
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$119.37
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$131.54
Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$68.2
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$9.92
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Dow say "Capacity" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will Dow say "China" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Dow say "Margin" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Tesla say "Software" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will ConAgra Brands say "Frozen" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Bank of America say "Expansion" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will PriceSmart say "Merchandise" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+319.7%+$201.47
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+303.6%+$619.17
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.65
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+172%+$33.61
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+483.2%+$178.56
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Forsen be the NLC 2026 Winter Split MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.5
Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$12.63
Will "Sorry" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Will "Hips Don't Lie" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will "A Sky Full of Stars" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the announcers say "Unbeaten" during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+668.5%+$70.46
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will the announcers say "Comeback” or “Come Back" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$51.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ariana Grande be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.46
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.9
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.83
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.11
Will Bad Bunny be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.47
Will Drake be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.04
Will The Weeknd be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 8 straight weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.43
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick24cpaid+247.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick11cpaid+548.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$5.85
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.7%+$19.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.83
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$28.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.