Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6992fdf39435fb8aa0b765e24f98cb621fd1f7b6458865387c0ea303da2f0003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,007,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,862,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,007,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 37c | 363,408$133,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,541.61 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 24c | 196,030$46,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,255.94 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…2212backed No | 59c | 186,239$109,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,985.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 69c | 156,228$107,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,451.21 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 21c | 104,944$22,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,334.38 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…a875backed No | 75c | 80,443$60,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,330.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 52c | 74,319$38,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,710.01 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe002…7813backed Yes | 10c | 73,960$7,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,183.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 54c | 55,569$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,569.21 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe237…ee01backed Yes | 8c | 46,021$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 39c | 40,196$15,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,494.65 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…989abacked No | 79c | 40,000$31,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 66c | 36,793$24,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,555.19 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 69c | 33,404$23,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,290.42 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…ad79backed Yes | 36c | 30,109$10,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,977.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed No | 45c | 28,870$13,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,768.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 75c | 27,496$20,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,921.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 59c | 26,589$15,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,013.27 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 31c | 25,131$7,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,786.88 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac4…57c2backed Yes | 35c | 24,901$8,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,751.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 13c | 23,551$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.34 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…6e25backed No | 45c | 21,832$9,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,083.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…fffbbacked Yes | 32c | 20,769$6,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,662.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +110%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…033fbacked Yes | 20c | 20,597$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 29c | 17,612$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.28 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Yes | 11c | 14,851$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 61c | 14,275$8,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,543.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…163fbacked No | 77c | 14,109$10,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 78c | 13,814$10,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 34c | 13,775$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.78 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 24c | 13,512$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.75 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…1508backed Yes | 14c | 12,509$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…7f71backed Yes | 15c | 12,326$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc284…ba60backed Yes | 45c | 11,431$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +322.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 12c | 10,806$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.13 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 69c | 10,534$7,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.07 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 35c | 10,485$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.57 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…1f6fbacked Yes | 19c | 10,337$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 72c | 10,227$7,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.46 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 27c | 10,226$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.3 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 32c | 9,820$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.31 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 7c | 9,386$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.7 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 48c | 9,290$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,867.1 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 79c | 9,254$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f0…986bbacked Yes | 22c | 9,232$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…cf01backed No | 45c | 8,827$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…ea3abacked Yes | 66c | 8,456$5,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,547.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 74c | 8,267$6,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.11 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…644cbacked Yes | 52c | 8,084$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace7…1824backed Yes | 21c | 7,725$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…8d9ebacked Yes | 38c | 7,707$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.09 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…37cabacked No | 43c | 7,647$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,358.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked No | 77c | 7,623$5,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156d…e025backed Yes | 34c | 7,501$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 18c | 7,328$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.18 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 53c | 7,290$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.45 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…78a5backed Yes | 13c | 7,257$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 63c | 7,233$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.39 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…a3d8backed Yes | 68c | 7,224$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…84fabacked Yes | 24c | 7,184$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…7143backed Yes | 35c | 6,997$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 70c | 6,743$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…9c05backed Yes | 32c | 6,735$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Yes | 10c | 6,558$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3400…4832backed No | 49c | 6,087$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…639ebacked Yes | 47c | 6,086$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…5564backed Yes | 10c | 5,585$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 38c | 5,292$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.3 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…4978backed Yes | 45c | 5,204$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 15c | 5,173$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.52 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 79c | 5,097$4,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.49 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…dc18backed Yes | 18c | 4,994$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed No | 79c | 4,972$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.37 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc731…2083backed No | 77c | 4,899$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 31c | 4,706$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.37 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 56c | 4,578$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.34 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 39c | 4,377$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.57 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 25c | 4,353$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.67 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3270backed Yes | 37c | 4,343$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…5e5bbacked Yes | 17c | 4,274$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed No | 66c | 4,179$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…5ec6backed Yes | 44c | 4,029$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…cc6bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,000$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.33 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…efbebacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40b…8c5abacked No | 58c | 4,000$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 13c | 3,971$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.18 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 9c | 3,928$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.31 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 18c | 3,833$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.03 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…cea7backed Yes | 14c | 3,800$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.99 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 41c | 3,767$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked No | 62c | 3,760$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.36 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 32c | 3,707$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.45 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 60c | 3,596$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 31c | 3,595$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.97 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a0abacked Yes | 19c | 3,548$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.31 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 34c | 3,476$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.26 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab54…da9fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,473$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,467$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.97 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,421$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.