TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,616,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,467,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,616,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x573e…703cbacked Yes8c79,000$6,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,427.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes7c52,966$3,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,702.9735123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes0c45,226$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.74740%0 W · 74 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x739a…552cbacked Yes0c39,014$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162520%0 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fc…3837backed Yes9c37,568$3,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,273.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63ca…9265backed Yes3c35,624$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.67213.9%10 W · 62 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…b8e0backed Yes2c30,046$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5e…7f71backed Yes2c28,426$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Yes12c26,286$3,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.21240%0 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked No56c19,576$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,625.7419535.4%69 W · 126 L-13.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a5b…c6c1backed Yes43c15,999$6,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,919.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed Yes7c15,214$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.17120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6402…2fa1backed Yes4c14,773$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.58643.1%2 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-72.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x950d…dac5backed Yes0c14,514$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c13,858$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.584163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Yes6c12,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.9950%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfdd…5585backed Yes8c11,216$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.51195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes1c10,969$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1770%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes8c10,836$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.03323.1%1 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick14cpaid-95%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7820…5723backed Yes8c10,821$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.723514.3%5 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe555…a91dbacked Yes13c10,000$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.33147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-91.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No70c9,409$6,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.147163.4%45 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e92…b53fbacked Yes1c9,245$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa321…11e3backed Yes0c9,151$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x027e…c97fbacked Yes3c7,794$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.974522.2%10 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes7c7,734$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.794934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d17…9054backed Yes13c7,355$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.290%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…9116backed Yes7c6,800$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495205%1 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2092…3884backed Yes7c6,694$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Yes8c6,611$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0bf…2032backed Yes10c6,457$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.962619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-66.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf494…8a85backed Yes7c6,111$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes7c6,109$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.618540%34 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes2c5,500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857219.4%14 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d0…17e8backed Yes1c5,077$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf87…2974backed Yes9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x620e…621bbacked Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e8…c707backed Yes8c4,887$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.174015%6 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes10c4,880$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.041010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-84.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c4,589$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7728113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc409…4d2abacked Yes1c4,446$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.87480%0 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d6…01f9backed Yes8c4,219$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.37797.6%6 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea29…43e3backed Yes8c4,038$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.64330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc65…5dcabacked Yes4c4,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f32…efb8backed Yes1c3,967$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.45430%0 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed Yes8c3,681$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.621483.4%5 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8d…299cbacked No72c3,648$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.654047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…9667backed Yes8c3,565$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.06360%0 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x052c…41d7backed Yes1c3,536$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes1c3,131$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174754.6%22 W · 453 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+144.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes20c3,066$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.0814337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…042bbacked Yes8c2,981$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.283740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3604…bd45backed Yes14c2,800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…62a4backed Yes9c2,714$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503215.6%5 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d35…23c1backed Yes45c2,700$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.992040%8 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf17a…7b1fbacked No69c2,395$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.881145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No57c2,105$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.222070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3822…b720backed Yes32c2,100$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.998634.9%30 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x489a…3142backed Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca4…f2d4backed No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…d142backed Yes8c2,000$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162333%1 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes18c1,892$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.5887828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf81c…4540backed Yes7c1,857$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes59c1,800$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43a6…8b32backed No77c1,667$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.95470.4%38 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9095…96f7backed No37c1,600$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0082972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x61d9…d1c4backed Yes36c1,594$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.09825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc34…c663backed Yes1c1,524$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.991811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-67%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…23c5backed Yes57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+122%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe45f…5de6backed Yes7c1,497$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a0…669ebacked Yes5c1,479$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.931526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick16cpaid-47%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…6771backed No44c1,458$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.682839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c4e…a1ddbacked Yes3c1,457$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes11c1,343$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.041015.9%6 W · 95 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+121.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3301…4dd8backed Yes2c1,330$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71024.9%5 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a7…00b1backed Yes7c1,306$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.832020%4 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b10…4629backed Yes42c1,300$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4476…111ebacked Yes2c1,244$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfe…1ed1backed Yes52c1,219$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.69922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x446d…1995backed Yes48c1,203$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7470…72e1backed No43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6846100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2df1…c10cbacked Yes2c1,195$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…251ebacked Yes12c1,160$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9311720.5%24 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec4f…ce8dbacked Yes45c1,149$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44fb…4ababacked Yes9c1,144$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c98…ef88backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100494.1%2 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…a48fbacked Yes8c1,111$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1517…5b34backed Yes43c1,052$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.711323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x55bd…6522backed Yes9c1,029$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.071040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c3…1331backed No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6b…1ab6backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…6feabacked No76c1,000$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2423171%22 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1383…0516backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102825%7 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+526.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x781a…96e6backed Yes62c999.99$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d34…dfb5backed Yes27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.996417.2%11 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+163.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18e…b090backed No46c999.97$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.143871.1%27 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.