Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99e5c683143a52e9f129ba97bd9d05a44435008296ac5f148735109a215e5c92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,616,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,467,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,616,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x573e…703cbacked Yes | 8c | 79,000$6,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,427.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 7c | 52,966$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.97 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 45,226$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…552cbacked Yes | 0c | 39,014$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fc…3837backed Yes | 9c | 37,568$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 3c | 35,624$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.6 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…b8e0backed Yes | 2c | 30,046$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…7f71backed Yes | 2c | 28,426$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 12c | 26,286$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.21 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 56c | 19,576$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,625.74 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…c6c1backed Yes | 43c | 15,999$6,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,919.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 7c | 15,214$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.17 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 4c | 14,773$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.58 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…dac5backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 13,858$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Yes | 6c | 12,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 8c | 11,216$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.51 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 1c | 10,969$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 8c | 10,836$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.03 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 8c | 10,821$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.72 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 70c | 9,409$6,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.14 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e92…b53fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,245$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa321…11e3backed Yes | 0c | 9,151$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 3c | 7,794$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.97 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 7c | 7,734$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.79 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Yes | 13c | 7,355$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…9116backed Yes | 7c | 6,800$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…3884backed Yes | 7c | 6,694$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Yes | 8c | 6,611$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 10c | 6,457$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.96 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf494…8a85backed Yes | 7c | 6,111$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 7c | 6,109$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.61 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…17e8backed Yes | 1c | 5,077$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…621bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 8c | 4,887$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.17 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 10c | 4,880$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 4,589$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 1c | 4,446$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 8c | 4,219$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.37 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 8c | 4,038$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.6 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…5dcabacked Yes | 4c | 4,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 1c | 3,967$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 8c | 3,681$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.62 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 72c | 3,648$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 8c | 3,565$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.06 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…41d7backed Yes | 1c | 3,536$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,131$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 20c | 3,066$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.08 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,981$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.28 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3604…bd45backed Yes | 14c | 2,800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 9c | 2,714$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 45c | 2,700$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…7b1fbacked No | 69c | 2,395$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 57c | 2,105$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.22 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 32c | 2,100$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.99 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…3142backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,892$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.58 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 7c | 1,857$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 59c | 1,800$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 77c | 1,667$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.9 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…d1c4backed Yes | 36c | 1,594$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…c663backed Yes | 1c | 1,524$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…23c5backed Yes | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +122%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45f…5de6backed Yes | 7c | 1,497$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…669ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,479$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 44c | 1,458$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.68 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…a1ddbacked Yes | 3c | 1,457$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 11c | 1,343$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 2c | 1,330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…00b1backed Yes | 7c | 1,306$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…4629backed Yes | 42c | 1,300$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…111ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,244$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfe…1ed1backed Yes | 52c | 1,219$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…1995backed Yes | 48c | 1,203$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…72e1backed No | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2df1…c10cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,195$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,160$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…ce8dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,149$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fb…4ababacked Yes | 9c | 1,144$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…a48fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,111$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1517…5b34backed Yes | 43c | 1,052$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55bd…6522backed Yes | 9c | 1,029$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6b…1ab6backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 76c | 1,000$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781a…96e6backed Yes | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…dfb5backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 46c | 999.97$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.14 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.