Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6122f0e541331c3324121a6377d6dbd898d4b472b1840ddaab570ed607477744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $790,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $588,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $790,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2376…e94fbacked Yes | 0c | 145,839$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.14 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 44,204$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 41,481$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…382bbacked Yes | 1c | 39,108$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.23 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 1c | 19,931$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.61 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…dac5backed Yes | 0c | 16,106$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 1c | 14,947$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 3c | 11,807$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.31 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…f4dfbacked Yes | 1c | 11,650$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…a166backed Yes | 0c | 11,259$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefd…24d1backed Yes | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 3c | 10,827$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.74 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 0c | 10,199$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1ceebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…909dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,017$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8a…4362backed Yes | 0c | 7,755$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,068$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,259$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 2c | 5,965$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…cac1backed Yes | 4c | 4,737$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 4,462$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…02babacked Yes | 1c | 4,360$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…5b82backed Yes | 1c | 3,614$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 1c | 3,533$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe043…c78bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…5f89backed Yes | 2c | 3,034$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 2c | 2,968$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 2c | 2,464$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…cb55backed Yes | 1c | 2,135$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…669ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,129$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…f666backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 2,087$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…43dfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,045$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…5338backed Yes | 1c | 1,769$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…396abacked Yes | 1c | 1,682$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 1c | 1,491$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 1c | 1,330$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…282dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,311$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,292$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…456bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,280$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f372backed Yes | 1c | 1,234$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,184$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 4c | 1,173$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Yes | 2c | 660.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…cea7backed Yes | 6c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…b08fbacked Yes | 3c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.