Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6d651e1f7f9fc47f0079c1fba2fc18290cd8a45644f76f73ef7a1ae35f8d65f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,319,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,826,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,319,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 7c | 233,159$15,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,183.75 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…5214backed Yes | 8c | 151,692$12,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,658.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 0c | 87,878$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.94 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 3c | 84,323$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.32 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 8c | 60,902$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.62 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Yes | 6c | 50,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 5c | 46,557$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.63 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 14c | 44,937$6,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,325.86 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 4c | 41,219$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.29 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 7c | 27,235$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.84 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ad…c163backed Yes | 5c | 26,743$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.64 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…ad79backed Yes | 14c | 22,842$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 4c | 19,969$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.04 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,502$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 14c | 16,256$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.98 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 2c | 15,938$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 15,286$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 24c | 13,889$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.54 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 4c | 13,778$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.93 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 4c | 10,639$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.11 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 10,608$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.36 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Yes | 18c | 10,579$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 1c | 10,446$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…ab69backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 3c | 9,732$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…d7e0backed Yes | 33c | 9,722$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 7c | 9,028$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.74 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yes | 11c | 8,682$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 3c | 8,479$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 2c | 8,389$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…c1d5backed Yes | 7c | 8,060$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.62 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 4c | 7,882$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.58 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed Yes | 7c | 7,764$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 13c | 7,535$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 1c | 7,014$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…8410backed Yes | 0c | 6,892$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -79%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11b…a68bbacked Yes | 27c | 6,851$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 10c | 6,522$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…04f2backed Yes | 5c | 6,172$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.22 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…c46cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,049$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.24 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 4c | 5,654$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…7555backed Yes | 4c | 5,618$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 13c | 5,000$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.99 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ff20backed Yes | 4c | 4,998$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,536$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 4c | 4,284$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 20c | 4,258$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.1 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…7e20backed Yes | 6c | 4,068$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.61 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 26c | 4,009$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.42 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked No | 77c | 3,909$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…6703backed Yes | 3c | 3,883$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…a475backed Yes | 14c | 3,740$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e01…a4babacked Yes | 4c | 3,683$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.77 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…9f80backed Yes | 1c | 3,331$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 3c | 3,155$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 6c | 3,013$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Yes | 6c | 2,800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…68edbacked Yes | 12c | 2,703$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,698$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 2,635$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Yes | 2c | 2,623$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…e0efbacked Yes | 18c | 2,427$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,378$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 28c | 2,320$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 15c | 2,213$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.03 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 6c | 2,200$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 20c | 2,021$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.54 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 17c | 2,016$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.83 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,840$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b43…7829backed Yes | 6c | 1,829$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 1,760$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…6328backed Yes | 2c | 1,737$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…e27cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,724$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…3489backed Yes | 29c | 1,647$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…81ccbacked Yes | 4c | 1,628$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,610$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe73b…1859backed Yes | 6c | 1,602$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 7c | 1,581$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…4c49backed Yes | 15c | 1,543$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…0863backed Yes | 7c | 1,499$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…895cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,489$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,451$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 7c | 1,394$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 3c | 1,272$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 13c | 1,260$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 7c | 1,252$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…8d9ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d0…918ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,224$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…3ff9backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…3580backed Yes | 2c | 1,196$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…5c72backed Yes | 13c | 1,175$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…9865backed Yes | 18c | 1,152$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.68 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.