TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,319,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,826,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,319,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes7c233,159$15,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,183.7563835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c07…5214backed Yes8c151,692$12,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,658.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed Yes0c87,878$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.9411813.6%16 W · 102 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+281.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x76ec…d630backed Yes3c84,323$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.32729.7%7 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-76%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes8c60,902$4,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.62248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Yes6c50,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes5c46,557$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.6335123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed Yes14c44,937$6,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,325.863010%3 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe157…51ebbacked Yes4c41,219$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.29250%0 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes7c27,235$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.8458126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ad…c163backed Yes5c26,743$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.641921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+165.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf394…ad79backed Yes14c22,842$3,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.2911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-83.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes4c19,969$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.0410313.6%14 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes0c19,502$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.389824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x530e…cc11backed Yes14c16,256$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.986123%14 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+143.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59bb…6d65backed Yes2c15,938$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.95456.7%3 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-89.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes1c15,286$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90402.5%1 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes0c14,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes24c13,889$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.54110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes4c13,778$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.932825%7 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc409…4d2abacked Yes4c10,639$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.11480%0 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c10,608$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.3628113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…81d2backed Yes18c10,579$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.2380%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c98…ef88backed Yes1c10,446$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150494.1%2 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1437…acfebacked Yes0c10,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121625%4 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-65.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d9…ab69backed Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes3c9,732$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330180%0 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fc…d7e0backed Yes33c9,722$3,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…251ebacked Yes7c9,028$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.7411720.5%24 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Yes11c8,682$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes3c8,479$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.63438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc29…1c34backed Yes2c8,389$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.97454.4%2 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…c1d5backed Yes7c8,060$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.62100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes1c8,000$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.12150%0 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f32…efb8backed Yes4c7,882$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.58430%0 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…6771backed Yes7c7,764$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5732839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x784d…d27dbacked Yes13c7,535$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes1c7,014$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.92100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2995…8410backed Yes0c6,892$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.57714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-79%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb11b…a68bbacked Yes27c6,851$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.6540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes10c6,522$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6255117.6%9 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2305…04f2backed Yes5c6,172$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.22120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc0…c46cbacked Yes4c6,049$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.241711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-78.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfdd…5585backed Yes4c5,654$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.74195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ab…7555backed Yes4c5,618$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes27c5,000$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+97.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca4…f2d4backed Yes9c5,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb392…fc73backed Yes13c5,000$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.994912.2%6 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-77.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc99…ff20backed Yes4c4,998$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.01425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes10c4,536$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.261315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf274…37f4backed Yes4c4,284$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.885612.5%7 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x726f…d8e7backed Yes20c4,258$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.111330.1%34 W · 79 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc7…7e20backed Yes6c4,068$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.61166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ae…51e0backed Yes26c4,009$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.4214019.3%27 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+119.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes5c4,000$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1863724.3%9 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked No77c3,909$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.27757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb828…6703backed Yes3c3,883$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3739…a475backed Yes14c3,740$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e01…a4babacked Yes4c3,683$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.77260%0 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e3…9f80backed Yes1c3,331$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes3c3,155$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.76150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes6c3,013$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.767020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Yes6c2,800$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e1…68edbacked Yes12c2,703$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c2,698$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.811,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes11c2,635$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe886…e553backed Yes2c2,623$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7875…e0efbacked Yes18c2,427$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.453240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes1c2,378$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.141970%0 W · 197 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed Yes28c2,320$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.170%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea29…43e3backed Yes15c2,213$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.034330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2478…2e62backed Yes6c2,200$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf921…be16backed Yes20c2,021$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.54429.5%4 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes17c2,016$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8312012.5%15 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes4c2,000$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes6c2,000$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12628021.1%59 W · 221 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c1,840$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.352126.6%14 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick6cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b43…7829backed Yes6c1,829$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c1,760$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.69590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffef…6328backed Yes2c1,737$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ba…e27cbacked Yes6c1,724$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3e…3489backed Yes29c1,647$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa465…81ccbacked Yes4c1,628$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x505e…affcbacked Yes5c1,610$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774231%13 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe73b…1859backed Yes6c1,602$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f08…73a8backed Yes7c1,581$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.81838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cf…4c49backed Yes15c1,543$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.19616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80b9…0863backed Yes7c1,499$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5180%0 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…895cbacked Yes12c1,489$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x027e…c97fbacked Yes2c1,451$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.84522.2%10 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed Yes7c1,394$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.791483.4%5 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed Yes3c1,272$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.57120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7820…5723backed Yes13c1,260$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.043514.3%5 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe328…9f4abacked Yes7c1,252$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845925.4%15 W · 44 L-12.2wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd8cf…8d9ebacked Yes8c1,251$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-66.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d0…918ebacked Yes5c1,224$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-78.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4631…3ff9backed Yes2c1,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5771…3580backed Yes2c1,196$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.74128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e72…5c72backed Yes13c1,175$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1955…9865backed Yes18c1,152$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.682114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.