TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe328…9f4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5925.4%15 W · 44 L-12.2wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$661
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$104.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+87%+$12.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
Will Solana dip to $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.43
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.36
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$207.61
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$975.03
Aster all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.3
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114.28
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$820.39
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,232.58
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$980.65
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$318.37
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3171%22 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.47
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.67
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$11.97
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.12
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.71
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.44
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.35
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.03
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.06
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+32.1%+$9.95
Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$9.3
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+39.1%+$33.98
Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.98
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Cho Tae-yong in jail by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25.55
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.02
FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.61
Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+114.5%+$11.65
Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.74
Will Juventus beat Wydad AC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$8.83
Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$5.07
Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Chelsea beat Flamengo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.87
Will PSG beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.49
Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Atlético Madrid beat Seattle Sounders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$12.7
Will Juventus beat Al Ain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$4.54
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.39
Will Chelsea beat LAFC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.54
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.11
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.13
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.73
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Football.Fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38%+$8.13
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.87
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.4%+$174.21
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+26%+$63.03
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+99.9%+$70.76
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$181.16
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick1cpaid+733.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+9,900%+$3,510.39
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$36.58
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35.54
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.93
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45.33
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37.85
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.1
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32.49
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$39.44
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$33.33
Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-50.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$155.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$62.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$127.97
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.46
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.97
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.96
Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.28
Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.91
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+494.9%+$128.68
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.47
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Will USA beat Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$5.04
Will Canada beat Curacao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-77.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Abby vs. RoRobacked RoRo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.7
Boxing: Andoni vs. Carlos Belcastbacked Andoni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$6.49
Boxing: Perxitaa vs. Gaspibacked Gaspi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$33.43
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+65.7%+$60.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+426.6%+$59.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+141.5%+$25.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$14.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Red Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$3.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$210.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.