NFL · resolved market
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8d889f4c49f58d98538d08182a07c27206f0e98f9f0a125eda3abf94305c8f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,232,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,468,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,232,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 14,816,637$79,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,911.33 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 1c | 4,608,537$24,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,328.02 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,323,542$16,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,996.73 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 2,546,731$15,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,931.34 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 1,119,314$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.3 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2a…07bfbacked Yes | 1c | 833,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 789,425$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.9 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 733,207$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.16 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…74f7backed Yes | 1c | 700,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…e5e7backed Yes | 0c | 671,196$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.86 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 1c | 539,555$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.33 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 0c | 493,329$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 0c | 480,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 356,142$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.84 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 330,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…a002backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 247,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 215,875$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.38 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 185,000$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 184,883$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.04 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5552…81afbacked Yes | 1c | 179,086$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 1c | 169,249$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.71 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…8986backed Yes | 1c | 161,437$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…1895backed Yes | 1c | 155,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…8f5cbacked Yes | 1c | 150,287$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e5…89acbacked Yes | 1c | 140,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…162fbacked Yes | 1c | 131,309$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…8ce2backed Yes | 1c | 122,450$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff9…c871backed Yes | 1c | 120,143$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6e…e6a4backed Yes | 1c | 114,145$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…7b3fbacked Yes | 1c | 113,929$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6e…d2c2backed Yes | 1c | 112,900$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 0c | 105,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…c2f8backed Yes | 1c | 104,851$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…78bfbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…9adabacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0839…698ebacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…27e6backed Yes | 1c | 98,741$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 88,000$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…1240backed Yes | 1c | 81,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a15…8019backed Yes | 1c | 69,000$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…2a24backed Yes | 1c | 65,200$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…2bf4backed Yes | 1c | 63,900$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…7311backed Yes | 1c | 63,843$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…27f1backed Yes | 1c | 63,800$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…b868backed Yes | 1c | 63,714$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…0764backed Yes | 1c | 63,643$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5a42backed Yes | 1c | 63,429$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…d912backed Yes | 1c | 63,143$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…8beabacked Yes | 1c | 63,086$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…1bb5backed Yes | 1c | 62,714$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…8bc0backed Yes | 1c | 62,714$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…e2dbbacked Yes | 1c | 62,586$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…e705backed Yes | 1c | 62,300$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6180…590abacked Yes | 1c | 61,942$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…4cd3backed Yes | 1c | 61,086$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6a…8e63backed Yes | 1c | 58,487$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…9cb7backed Yes | 1c | 56,833$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…f2c3backed Yes | 1c | 55,337$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…df4cbacked Yes | 1c | 55,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…aee5backed Yes | 1c | 54,909$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…b74cbacked Yes | 1c | 54,750$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…caebbacked Yes | 1c | 54,571$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6a38backed Yes | 1c | 53,714$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1454…7a4abacked Yes | 1c | 53,714$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 1c | 53,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3412…9c13backed Yes | 1c | 52,903$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…ee46backed Yes | 1c | 52,900$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…47b6backed Yes | 1c | 52,571$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 1c | 51,667$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…f832backed Yes | 1c | 51,583$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…c981backed Yes | 1c | 51,500$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…b0d6backed Yes | 1c | 51,383$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…1a24backed Yes | 1c | 51,143$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…7fcdbacked Yes | 1c | 50,145$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…45a3backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…e35bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…9ababacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3200…e913backed Yes | 1c | 46,429$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…638abacked Yes | 1c | 45,329$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…55f0backed Yes | 1c | 45,289$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ba…6cdebacked Yes | 1c | 45,200$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053f…5ac3backed Yes | 1c | 45,100$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4b…26f7backed Yes | 1c | 45,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf378…cc57backed Yes | 1c | 44,786$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…755dbacked Yes | 1c | 44,757$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…b294backed Yes | 1c | 42,748$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…4884backed Yes | 1c | 42,029$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…3c74backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…ec9cbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9a…18e1backed Yes | 1c | 34,465$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…c1e8backed Yes | 1c | 33,355$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c5…e4f2backed Yes | 1c | 32,066$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…6eeebacked Yes | 1c | 31,252$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…19febacked Yes | 1c | 31,116$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c9…d66abacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.