NFL · resolved market
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc319ae3e39f6a0b441fd02d37058ee8af4133967a205c88c9243972deceddbee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,048,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,606,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,048,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,074 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4f5…e5e7backed Yes | 0c | 4,228,778$14,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,226.94 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 1c | 2,768,007$16,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,024 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 2,171,648$12,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,048.77 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 1,711,165$8,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,006.31 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…2852backed Yes | 1c | 1,210,090$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 1,103,187$6,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 1c | 1,000,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…bce6backed Yes | 1c | 456,303$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb30…3d8bbacked Yes | 1c | 417,137$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 333,732$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.73 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 1c | 215,845$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.85 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 213,470$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.62 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…a002backed Yes | 1c | 199,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce59…bbddbacked Yes | 1c | 191,857$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 176,915$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.58 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 174,536$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.37 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…bb25backed Yes | 1c | 155,429$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 146,475$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.8 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 0c | 109,999$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Yes | 1c | 103,048$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.76 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 1c | 99,978$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.66 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 1c | 93,919$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.79 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 1c | 80,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 80,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Yes | 1c | 74,400$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 69,165$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.12 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…bafcbacked Yes | 1c | 68,653$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…caebbacked Yes | 1c | 62,629$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 1c | 55,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 53,000$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…82d7backed Yes | 1c | 51,100$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…e705backed Yes | 1c | 50,633$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…bfe4backed Yes | 1c | 45,500$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…6ce5backed Yes | 1c | 45,500$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8e…cd4bbacked Yes | 1c | 45,500$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…82e0backed Yes | 1c | 45,500$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d10…5f9bbacked Yes | 1c | 45,467$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…96a3backed Yes | 1c | 45,467$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbf…9da7backed Yes | 1c | 45,450$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7d…31d9backed Yes | 1c | 45,417$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…3dbbbacked Yes | 1c | 45,417$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…1b94backed Yes | 1c | 45,400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…6425backed Yes | 1c | 45,383$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716b…04f1backed Yes | 1c | 45,333$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ee…03ecbacked Yes | 1c | 45,333$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebd…3689backed Yes | 1c | 45,333$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…605ebacked Yes | 1c | 45,333$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea9…842cbacked Yes | 1c | 45,333$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…811bbacked Yes | 1c | 45,333$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…9514backed Yes | 1c | 45,267$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…dab2backed Yes | 1c | 45,233$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…5888backed Yes | 1c | 45,217$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a2…7538backed Yes | 1c | 45,217$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…7c99backed Yes | 1c | 45,200$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…3c36backed Yes | 1c | 45,200$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…f4f9backed Yes | 1c | 45,183$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3780…4b7abacked Yes | 1c | 45,167$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…dc54backed Yes | 1c | 45,167$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…2ce4backed Yes | 1c | 45,167$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3521…07ecbacked Yes | 1c | 45,167$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54a…ac6cbacked Yes | 1c | 45,150$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…ad4abacked Yes | 1c | 45,150$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…ba30backed Yes | 1c | 45,133$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…4736backed Yes | 1c | 45,133$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6649…76abbacked Yes | 1c | 45,117$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedc…ec2fbacked Yes | 1c | 45,100$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b5…4483backed Yes | 1c | 45,083$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…60f4backed Yes | 1c | 45,083$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1d…c1c9backed Yes | 1c | 45,083$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Yes | 1c | 45,061$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…d025backed Yes | 1c | 45,050$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…7bc3backed Yes | 1c | 45,017$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d9…8ad3backed Yes | 1c | 45,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f1…366cbacked Yes | 1c | 45,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…88ddbacked Yes | 1c | 45,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba7…c46abacked Yes | 1c | 44,967$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…f0e8backed Yes | 1c | 44,950$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…dad1backed Yes | 1c | 44,948$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f52…9688backed Yes | 1c | 44,883$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac10…80f5backed Yes | 1c | 44,850$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…3a8cbacked Yes | 1c | 44,833$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…958ebacked Yes | 1c | 44,833$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…12acbacked Yes | 1c | 44,833$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ef…c8dfbacked Yes | 1c | 44,750$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…3fd2backed Yes | 1c | 44,733$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35db…fd5cbacked Yes | 1c | 44,667$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…f7bbbacked Yes | 1c | 44,667$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd37…b3a7backed Yes | 2c | 44,495$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…dadabacked Yes | 2c | 44,495$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 2c | 42,359$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…6e73backed Yes | 1c | 42,167$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 42,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…689fbacked Yes | 1c | 41,545$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…1ae5backed Yes | 1c | 36,215$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a4…e17bbacked Yes | 2c | 35,784$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.