TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2336…9e65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$146.6
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$179.26
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.87
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.93
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,607Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$893
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$465
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,847.98
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,822Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+49.5%+$1,396.58
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$312.84
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.16
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,916Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.5%+$2,940.73
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$629.95
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$530
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+67.8%+$519.76
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$580
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.5%+$31.82
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+41.1%+$28.77
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$21.7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+102.7%+$31.42
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$28.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$29.25
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$16.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,380
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$880
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$381.37
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$880
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.62
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,109.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,889Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.5%+$1,198.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,223.18
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46%+$699.92
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.7%+$221.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,000
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,144.54
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20,084Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10,346.2
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,975
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$9,990Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$27,010
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$15,000
All 6 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-45.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+678.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$40.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Will the government shutdown end November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+117.4%+$994.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+59.1%+$295.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.