AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbf9e16f0ad8bef39c3860dda598df8c4906f737bbed4dc1c65f7e0c07675ab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,765,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,474,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,765,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 71c | 109,262$77,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,224.88 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 72c | 87,891$63,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,759.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 77c | 83,885$64,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,013.18 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 35c | 45,642$16,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,111.2 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…6fb0backed Yes | 49c | 35,067$17,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,860.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 13c | 34,215$4,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,626.84 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 66c | 28,448$18,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,768.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 27c | 26,920$7,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,368.98 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 23,755$7,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,167.82 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 39c | 23,218$8,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,981.66 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 61c | 23,066$14,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,062.43 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 60c | 20,285$12,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,102.09 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 73c | 19,123$13,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…1147backed Yes | 74c | 18,716$13,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,944.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Yes | 5c | 18,407$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,548.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,485.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…42d6backed No | 26c | 17,801$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.47 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 16c | 17,321$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,587.91 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 70c | 16,386$11,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 72c | 16,266$11,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.79 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 77c | 16,028$12,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.88 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 70c | 15,518$10,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,669.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 27c | 15,010$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.2 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…b99cbacked Yes | 55c | 15,007$8,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,809.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 77c | 14,585$11,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.86 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 14,542$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.16 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes | 62c | 14,209$8,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,392.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 71c | 12,516$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Yes | 72c | 12,489$8,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 71c | 12,450$8,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 51c | 11,875$6,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 45cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 68c | 11,723$7,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.53 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…7c10backed Yes | 18c | 11,281$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,224.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de2…e6c9backed Yes | 14c | 10,844$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,314.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +609.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed No | 10c | 10,264$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…c01abacked Yes | 70c | 10,209$7,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…3ca3backed Yes | 59c | 10,000$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 67c | 9,868$6,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4822…4fa7backed Yes | 9c | 9,797$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,933.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 57c | 9,590$5,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…4e41backed No | 5c | 9,563$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 70c | 9,478$6,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3e…8af2backed Yes | 76c | 9,250$7,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed No | 10c | 9,240$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 65c | 9,116$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.96 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ca…3b87backed Yes | 11c | 9,069$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,069.1 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a93…9c7fbacked No | 5c | 8,841$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 69c | 8,739$6,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.79 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 59c | 8,711$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.76 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 57c | 8,181$4,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.59 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3f…1a6fbacked Yes | 61c | 8,165$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed No | 10c | 8,060$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa881…cd20backed Yes | 64c | 7,638$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed Yes | 72c | 7,603$5,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 74c | 7,326$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 68c | 6,849$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.92 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 77c | 6,666$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 61c | 6,494$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.87 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…81bfbacked Yes | 10c | 6,474$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,829.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 69c | 6,442$4,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…4b1abacked Yes | 67c | 6,296$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…b97cbacked Yes | 69c | 6,242$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…056cbacked Yes | 11c | 6,221$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.53 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed No | 3c | 6,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…0e31backed Yes | 76c | 6,159$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…d8e4backed Yes | 6c | 6,069$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +433.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…d803backed Yes | 66c | 6,016$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…1024backed No | 2c | 5,905$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…b5afbacked Yes | 6c | 5,653$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +310.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 76c | 5,500$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 28c | 5,486$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 3c | 5,388$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.94 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 5,329$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.09 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…f075backed Yes | 1c | 5,135$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +3,746.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…3627backed Yes | 9c | 5,071$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,607.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 7c | 5,050$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 1c | 5,050$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,019.13 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…bf2ebacked Yes | 11c | 5,032$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.81 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked Yes | 78c | 5,000$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99c9backed Yes | 63c | 4,805$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked Yes | 69c | 4,606$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.33 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 63c | 4,587$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…44fabacked Yes | 74c | 4,500$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…6108backed Yes | 68c | 4,405$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Yes | 77c | 4,292$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed No | 5c | 4,264$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…d6e7backed No | 23c | 4,255$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.51 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b8…8665backed No | 1c | 4,249$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…93b1backed Yes | 78c | 4,248$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…8163backed Yes | 71c | 4,216$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 70c | 4,191$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.26 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 26c | 4,142$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.23 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…2779backed Yes | 69c | 4,110$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…1734backed No | 10c | 3,944$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…0877backed Yes | 65c | 3,809$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed No | 6c | 3,795$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 70c | 3,750$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.