TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36c8…53a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT5046%23 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,421.4
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$58.9
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$52.72
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$34.71
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37.9%+$442.05
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.6%+$54.62
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$778.62
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.7%+$377.99
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,778Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28%+$498.28
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$85.97
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$339.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$383.42
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,755Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+93.5%+$1,640.11
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$631.81
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+50.5%+$219.52
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$354.53
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$457.41
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+45.7%+$284.1
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,418.41
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+94.6%+$1,361.7
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+103.3%+$898.97
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,003.68
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,714.74
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.2%+$1,137.35
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,407Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+106.3%+$1,495.53
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+47.2%+$572.7
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$5,643.91
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+120.6%+$1,450.42
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$334.92
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$407.84
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+144.7%+$299.21
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$147.04
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$62.71
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$266.6
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$850.03
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$249.3
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+40.5%+$597.26
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,321.89
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+101.1%+$6,203.06
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$4,033.65
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$388.14
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+52.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$40.5
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.08
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$681.22
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$197.65
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100.3%+$501.32
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$48.2
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+287.2%+$900.32
Devils vs. Wildbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+49.9%+$207.86
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$230.77
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+111.8%+$439.57
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+90.8%+$121
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+39.9%+$154.41
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+241.5%+$213.37
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+134.1%+$804.71
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+57.5%+$425.5
Wild vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+77.4%+$99.31
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$175.15
Lamar Cardinals vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+126.5%+$190.54
Alabama State Hornets vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+50.1%+$395.52
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$731.6
Yale Bulldogs vs. Brown Bearsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44%+$81.22
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$989.55
Richmond Spiders vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.36
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+87.6%+$96.82
Auburn Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.25
SIUE Cougars vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksbacked SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+37.1%+$430.93
Denver Pioneers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+29.5%+$18.92
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,343
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,417Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.8%+$1,224.53
Memphis vs. North Carolina Statebacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,485.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$2,250
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$998.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$301.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$222.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,050
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,015
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.