NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb55660a26e7f29fd6a7eb599bf90c0fbc76eb5cb3c9213a858a96c0658c981c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Wizards, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,759,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,659,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,759,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards | 19c | 82,269$15,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,753.89 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Wizards | 17c | 65,197$10,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,987.09 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Wizards | 19c | 60,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.99 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 16c | 52,766$8,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,354.09 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Wizards | 17c | 52,355$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900.36 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards | 16c | 49,875$8,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,133.06 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Wizards | 19c | 48,747$9,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,043.48 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 7c | 45,063$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.94 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Wizards | 3c | 39,844$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.68 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Wizards | 18c | 30,000$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,527.12 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards | 1c | 21,051$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Wizards | 2c | 20,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Wizards | 17c | 20,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.94 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 18c | 18,847$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Wizards | 11c | 16,737$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Wizards | 15c | 16,548$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 5c | 16,361$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.21 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Wizards | 19c | 16,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 19c | 13,172$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.76 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards | 18c | 13,011$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.97 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 11c | 12,424$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.77 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Wizards | 19c | 12,142$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Wizards | 0c | 11,395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 19c | 11,054$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.27 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Wizards | 19c | 11,005$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.27 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b254backed Wizards | 3c | 10,954$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.62 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Wizards | 20c | 10,560$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.73 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 17c | 10,150$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Wizards | 10c | 10,004$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed Wizards | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Wizards | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Clippers | 80c | 9,913$7,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.69 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…e678backed Wizards | 19c | 8,149$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.31 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 12c | 7,823$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Clippers | 77c | 7,537$5,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.15 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Wizards | 10c | 7,384$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.3 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards | 16c | 6,935$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.6 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Wizards | 6c | 6,849$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.3 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…a609backed Wizards | 7c | 6,816$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Wizards | 16c | 6,300$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Wizards | 2c | 6,300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 5c | 5,583$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.57 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Wizards | 17c | 5,450$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wizards | 18c | 5,064$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.41 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Wizards | 3c | 5,039$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wizards | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards | 17c | 4,756$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.15 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wizards | 17c | 4,568$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.76 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Wizards | 5c | 4,517$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 16c | 4,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Wizards | 3c | 4,500$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Wizards | 18c | 4,495$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.92 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed Wizards | 7c | 4,426$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.21 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…6323backed Wizards | 2c | 4,419$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 101 | 19.8%20 W · 81 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Wizards | 11c | 4,355$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…964abacked Wizards | 15c | 4,292$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.18 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 1c | 4,254$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Wizards | 19c | 4,159$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Wizards | 17c | 4,133$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.69 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Wizards | 3c | 4,036$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Wizards | 11c | 4,004$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.24 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wizards | 16c | 3,969$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.24 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 4c | 3,622$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…6b4cbacked Wizards | 1c | 3,557$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…2289backed Wizards | 1c | 3,550$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Wizards | 10c | 3,450$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…93a8backed Wizards | 26c | 3,422$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…d162backed Clippers | 74c | 3,422$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Wizards | 17c | 3,333$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Wizards | 25c | 3,286$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.46 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Clippers | 78c | 3,134$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.53 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Wizards | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Clippers | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Wizards | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…cee8backed Wizards | 7c | 2,969$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Wizards | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Wizards | 26c | 2,595$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.68 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Wizards | 4c | 2,426$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Wizards | 19c | 2,237$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.87 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Wizards | 3c | 2,208$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Wizards | 11c | 2,174$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.87 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Wizards | 8c | 2,049$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Clippers | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Wizards | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Wizards | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Wizards | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Clippers | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Wizards | 17c | 1,932$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.44 | 215 | 34%73 W · 142 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Wizards | 10c | 1,900$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Wizards | 12c | 1,885$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.05 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Wizards | 27c | 1,882$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 19c | 1,857$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,808$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.34 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards | 8c | 1,803$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Clippers | 80c | 1,800$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Clippers | 80c | 1,783$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.52 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…a754backed Wizards | 19c | 1,768$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Wizards | 20c | 1,750$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Clippersthis page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.