TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1fab…ab3ebacked Under50c17,940$8,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,970250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over53c17,750$9,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,407.4287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…ff84backed Under50c15,898$7,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9493100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0771…dd66backed Under50c15,672$7,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,836366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a4…f9debacked Over50c15,434$7,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,71720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe731…4391backed Under50c15,382$7,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,691333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b5…abc1backed Over50c14,968$7,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,48430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17f0…add7backed Over50c14,616$7,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,30830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09dc…567bbacked Over50c12,926$6,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,463366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…fc62backed Over50c12,624$6,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,31220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under47c11,111$5,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,888.8324554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over53c6,689$3,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,545.1366853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over51c6,471$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc7…64febacked Under50c5,676$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134d…0555backed Over50c4,692$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a9…7b04backed Over50c4,247$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49eb…6102backed Under50c4,200$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2960…3197backed Under50c4,142$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c4,041$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.153,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe2a…8bd8backed Under47c3,915$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.89650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f77…f946backed Under50c3,728$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c3…f488backed Over50c3,697$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc2…ecf7backed Over50c3,601$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under43c3,326$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.562,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3bd…e36dbacked Under50c3,262$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…6984backed Over50c3,055$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbb…3947backed Under50c2,924$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c2,888$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.19,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a5…c635backed Under50c2,546$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19c7…2d87backed Over50c2,120$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over52c1,977$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.0425248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,937$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…1bb6backed Over50c1,899$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over52c1,845$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.593,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c1,834$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.472,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd773…019abacked Under50c1,677$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under47c1,629$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.4732150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under47c1,629$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.4742648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3394…f53abacked Under50c1,624$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf6…e703backed Over50c1,487$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78a…04d5backed Under50c1,422$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over23c1,300$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e7…a676backed Under50c1,265$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Over10c1,200$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under44c1,147$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.2123250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3591…7033backed Over50c1,088$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0060…2900backed Over50c1,079$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16a2…eb67backed Over50c1,068$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b7aebacked Under50c1,021$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over57c930$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.12,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under74c906$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.051,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Over10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Over8c622$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.091612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34890957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10405%2 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over56c499$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4485147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c447.53$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over73c420$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.611945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under27c420$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.652052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Over53c410$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.516053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Over4c400$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Under43c397$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2917031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over57c394$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.262,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303818.4%7 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16828751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under45c294.79$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.612,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f3…2d8bbacked Under50c289$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c247$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.542,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x659f…220cbacked Under44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10636854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under51c196.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6710840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c194.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.474,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…bf3dbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over56c178$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.681,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.454351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9423948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under46c136.71$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8320536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over52c135$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.788845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…638abacked Over54c129.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over56c107.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4163745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108512.9%11 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9400…b3cdbacked Under50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb9…afbbbacked Under53c93.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.814250%21 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c77.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.322,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf89c…8937backed Under51c72.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.483278.1%25 W · 7 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+44.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c71.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.573,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under45c67.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.643240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9be5…5e55backed Over50c67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under44c57.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0543348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c8…d7c5backed Over53c55.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.512356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a63…1733backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…1e75backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Over80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404445.5%20 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531745.4%144 W · 173 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over53c45.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9145348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.