NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb61ad74a553fd4d1a2bd5b15ab56c132560af0f3182e2706e2a841317bbc4d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 47c | 35,748$16,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,849.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 54c | 28,426$15,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,369.51 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Wizards | 52c | 13,142$6,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,788.07 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 46c | 10,241$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,573.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 54c | 5,964$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.53 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 47c | 4,328$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Clippers | 46c | 4,326$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.09 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers | 52c | 3,943$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.8 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 54c | 3,384$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wizards | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Wizards | 53c | 2,780$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.33 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 54c | 2,757$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.55 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 50c | 2,057$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 46c | 2,020$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Wizards | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Wizards | 50c | 1,856$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.83 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Clippers | 45c | 1,840$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 47c | 1,621$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 47c | 1,618$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.09 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wizards | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 50c | 1,439$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 47c | 1,150$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Clippers | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers | 48c | 1,000$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Wizards | 46c | 1,000$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Clippers | 51c | 990.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.14 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Wizards | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Wizards | 3c | 910.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Clippers | 46c | 830.43$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.43 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Clippers | 48c | 828.65$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.9 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Clippers | 52c | 689.15$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.79 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 48c | 627$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Wizards | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 50c | 511.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.98 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Clippers | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Wizards | 55c | 363.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 40c | 350$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.81 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Clippers | 30c | 349.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Clippers | 47c | 274$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.22 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Clippers | 46c | 215.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.22 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Clippers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…0a6abacked Clippers | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Wizards | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wizards | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Wizards | 51c | 131.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Clippers | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Clippers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Clippers | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Clippers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Clippers | 46c | 76.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Clippers | 48c | 63.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Clippers | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Clippers | 46c | 53.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers | 46c | 50.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Wizards | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Wizards | 52c | 48.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Wizards | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Clippers | 45c | 42.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Wizards | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Clippers | 49c | 40.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Wizards | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Wizards | 63c | 35.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Wizards | 51c | 34.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Clippers | 48c | 34.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Clippers | 48c | 33.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Wizards | 55c | 32.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Wizards | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Clippers | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Wizards | 55c | 28.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Wizards | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Clippers | 45c | 27.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Wizards | 51c | 23.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wizards | 53c | 23.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Clippers | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Wizards | 55c | 18.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Wizards vs. ClippersClippers won
- Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.